Expert tip for Arsenal FC - Brighton & Hove with odds & predictions

Matchday 18 in the Premier League: Will the leaders defend first place?

The leaders of the English Premier League enjoy home advantage on Saturday (December 27, 2025) from 4 pm at the Emirates Stadium in London. The best conditions for Arsenal FC to defend first place in the match against Brighton & Hove Albion. In our detailed betting tip analysis today, we will take a close look at whether they will succeed. Here we provide you with our expert tips, all the important facts and the best odds from the betting providers. We also take a look at the result of the AI forecast.

FC Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion: 27.12.2025 - 15:00

under 3.5 goals 1.50
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Arsenal FC defended first place in the table with a 1-0 win at Everton FC.
The Gunners have yet to lose a league game at home to the Emirates Stadium.
They also conceded just three goals in their eight Premier League home games.

Brighton & Hove Albion played out a goalless 0-0 draw against Sunderland last weekend.
The Seagulls have not scored in two games and have not won in four.
In four of the last five championship games, an Under 2.5 with a maximum of two goals was scored.

Result tip

1:0

The Gunners' last victories were no longer clear-cut. But three points will still be enough against Brighton & Hove Albion, who travel to the capital in rather poor form.

Racket England Premier League
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	FC Liverpool	5	5	0	0	11:5	6	15
2	FC Arsenal	5	3	1	1	10:2	8	10
3	Tottenham	5	3	1	1	10:3	7	10
4	AFC Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	6:5	1	10
5	Crystal Palace	5	2	3	0	6:2	4	9
6	FC Chelsea	5	2	2	1	10:5	5	8
7	AFC Sunderland	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8
8	FC Fulham	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8
9	Manchester City	5	2	1	2	9:5	4	7
10	FC Everton	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
11	Manchester United	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7
12	Leeds United	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7
13	Newcastle United	5	1	3	1	3:3	0	6
14	Brighton	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5
15	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	5:9	-4	5
16	Burnley FC	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
17	FC Brentford	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
18	Aston Villa	5	0	3	2	1:5	-4	3
19	West Ham United	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3
20	Wolverhampton	5	0	0	5	3:12	-9	0
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games FC Arsenal home vs. Brighton away
FC Arsenal Home	Brighton Away
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2:1	2:0 FC Liverpool
FC Brentford 2:0	0:2 Nottingham Forest
FC Bayern Munich 3:1	0:0 Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur 4:1	2:0 FC Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0	4:2 Manchester United

What speaks for Arsenal FC vs Brighton & Hove in the betting tip?

We will of course start our detailed football predictions with the home side. Especially as Arsenal FC are at the top of the Premier League table. So it's no surprise that their record so far is very positive with twelve wins before the 18th matchday. The Londoners have also only conceded two defeats, the fewest in the league. With only ten goals conceded, the Gunners also have the best defense on the island.

Last 5 results FC Arsenal
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
20.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Everton	FC Arsenal	0:1 (0:1)	S
20.12.2025 - England Premier League
13.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Arsenal	Wolverhampton	2:1 (0:0)	S
13.12.2025 - England Premier League
10.12.2025	UEFA Champions League	Club Brugge	FC Arsenal	0:3 (0:1)	S
10.12.2025 - UEFA Champions League
06.12.2025	England Premier League	Aston Villa	FC Arsenal	2:1 (1:0)	N
06.12.2025 - England Premier League
03.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Arsenal	FC Brentford	2:0 (1:0)	S
03.12.2025 - England Premier League

Narrow victories and a strong home defense

In the eight home games at the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal have kept themselves completely unscathed with seven wins and just one draw, but still without defeat. The defense has been equally impressive. The Gunners have only conceded three goals at home. However, the last two victories in the English championship have been particularly close with only one goal difference. This was also the case last weekend in the 1:0 win at Everton FC and before that against bottom-placed Wolverhampton (2:1). The capital city team had even suffered a 2-1 defeat at Aston Villa.

Arsenal FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

David Raya

Ben White William Saliba Piero Hincapié Jurriën Timber

Eberechi Eze Martín Zubimendi

Declan Rice Bukayo Saka Viktor Gyökeres

Gabriel Martinelli

WE RECOMMEND THE UNDER 3.5 GOALS WITH BETS OF 1.50

To Wallacebet

How good is Brighton & Hove's current form?

Next, we note in our betting tips today that the visitors have yet to win a game in the whole of December. Brighton & Hove Albion have drawn twice and lost two matches. The Seagulls have also not scored in two matches. They were held to a 0-0 draw against AFC Sunderland. Brighton lost 2-0 at Liverpool FC and their last win came at the end of November with a 2-0 victory over Nottingham Forest.

Last 5 results Brighton & Hove Albion
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
20.12.2025	England Premier League	Brighton	AFC Sunderland	0:0 (0:0)	U
20.12.2025 - England Premier League
13.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Liverpool	Brighton	2:0 (1:0)	N
13.12.2025 - England Premier League
07.12.2025	England Premier League	Brighton	West Ham United	1:1 (0:0)	U
07.12.2025 - England Premier League
03.12.2025	England Premier League	Brighton	Aston Villa	3:4 (2:2)	N
03.12.2025 - England Premier League
30.11.2025	England Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Brighton	0:2 (0:1)	S
30.11.2025 - England Premier League

Away from home, the Seagulls have plenty of room for improvement

A word about the starting position for the visitors, as this can certainly influence the course of the game. The points gained against Sunderland saw Brighton climb to ninth place in the Premier League table. They have six wins and six draws to their name. They have lost five point games to date. However, the Seagulls have only managed two wins away from home so far.

Brighton & Hove Albion

System: 4-3-3.

Bart Verbruggen

Mats Wieffer Diego Coppola Olivier Boscagli Maxim De Cuyper

Yasin Ayari Jack Hinshelwood Yankuba Minteh

Brajan Gruda Ferdi Kadıoğlu Georginio Rutter

Arsenal haven't lost against Brighton in five competitive matches

For your next betting slip, you should definitely take a look at the H2H result between Arsenal and Brighton. In the fourth round of the League Cup, the capital club won 2-0 at home at the end of October. However, the last two Premier League encounters in the 24/25 season ended 1-1. The Gunners are also unbeaten in five consecutive competitive matches against the Seagulls. And they have scored a maximum of three goals six times in a row, so the Under 3.5 goal bet has always worked out.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
29.10.2025	EFL - Carabao Cup	FC Arsenal	Brighton	2:0 (0:0)
29.10.2025 - EFL - Carabao Cup
04.01.2025	England Premier League	Brighton	FC Arsenal	1:1 (0:1)
04.01.2025 - England Premier League
31.08.2024	England Premier League	FC Arsenal	Brighton	1:1 (1:0)
31.08.2024 - England Premier League
06.04.2024	England Premier League	Brighton	FC Arsenal	0:3 (0:1)
06.04.2024 - England Premier League
17.12.2023	England Premier League	FC Arsenal	Brighton	2:0 (0:0)
17.12.2023 - England Premier League

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Arsenal		:	Brighton
7 Wins 3
2 Draw 3
1 Defeats 4
22 Goals scored 13
8 Goals received 14
12 Shots on target 8

FC Arsenal

57%

Ball possession

85%

Accuracy of passes

52%

Duels
won

Brighton

47%

Duels
won

85%

Accuracy of passes

52%

Ball possession

FC Arsenal

12
Corners

13
Shots on target

23
Goal kicks
next to the goal

5
Goal kicks
blocked

27
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

6
Offside

2
yellow cards

0
red cards

Brighton

17
Corners

17
Shots on target

26
Goal kicks
next to the goal

16
Goal kicks
blocked

33
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

26
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

8
Offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Arsenal

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,20

per game

+14

Goal difference

10 / 10

Games with goals

Brighton

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,30

per game

-1

Goal difference

6 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.20

1.67

under 2.5 goals 43.15%

over 2.5 goals 56.85%

1.50

2.62

under 3.5 goals 63.59%

over 3.5 goals 36.41%

1.17

5.00

under 4.5 goals 81.04%

over 4.5 goals 18.96%

1.91

both teams to score - yes 50.00%

both teams to score - no 50.00%

Our prediction for Arsenal FC vs Brighton & Hove

In our expert tips, we definitely expect a three-goal win for the home side, although it may again be very close and only one goal apart. You can therefore benefit from particularly strong odds if you play the Draw X with handicap 0:1. In this case, Arsenal FC must win by exactly one goal. The Under 3.5 with a maximum of three goals offers less risk. This has worked in eight of the visitors' last nine competitive matches alone.