Espanyol face a Herculean task - analysis & betting tips

Atlético hoping for an away win

Published on 26.03.2025 15:03.

A city duel between Barcelona and Madrid is on the program in La Liga next weekend. However, we're not talking about the "Clasico", but the clash between Espanyol Barcelona and Atlético Madrid. Our Espanyol - Atlético betting tip has analyzed this match for you in advance. Kick-off in Catalonia is at 4:15 pm on March 29.

Tip 2 1.60
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under 2.5 goals 1.65
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Betting tips today

Espanyol relies on home advantage
The Catalans are only 15th in the table
The direct duel speaks against Espanyol

Atlético is in 3rd place in the table
In terms of personnel, we see clear advantages for the guests
Atlético recently conceded 2 defeats in a row

Result tip

0:1

We expect the Madrilenians to win away from home. In our opinion, they will also regain their defensive stability.

Racket Primera Division
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	Atletico Madrid	18	12	5	1	33:12	21	41
2	Real Madrid	18	12	4	2	41:18	23	40
3	FC Barcelona	19	12	2	5	51:22	29	38
4	Athletic Bilbao	19	10	6	3	29:17	12	36
5	FC Villarreal	18	8	6	4	34:30	4	30
6	RCD Mallorca	19	9	3	7	19:21	-2	30
7	Real Sociedad	18	7	4	7	16:13	3	25
8	Girona	18	7	4	7	26:25	1	25
9	Betis Sevilla	18	6	7	5	21:22	-1	25
10	CA Osasuna	18	6	7	5	23:27	-4	25
11	Celta Vigo	18	7	3	8	27:28	-1	24
12	Rayo Vallecano	18	5	7	6	20:21	-1	22
13	UD Las Palmas	18	6	4	8	23:27	-4	22
14	FC Sevilla	18	6	4	8	20:27	-7	22
15	Leganes	18	4	6	8	17:28	-11	18
16	Deportivo Alavés	18	4	5	9	21:30	-9	17
17	FC Getafe	18	3	7	8	11:15	-4	16
18	Espanyol Barcelona	18	4	3	11	16:30	-14	15
19	FC Valencia	17	2	6	9	16:26	-10	12
20	Real Valladolid	18	3	3	12	12:37	-25	12
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games Espanyol Barcelona home vs. Atletico Madrid away
Espanyol Barcelona Home	Atletico Madrid Away
FC Girona 1:1	2:1 FC Getafe
Athletic Bilbao 1:1	2:1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1:0	4:4 FC Barcelona
Real Valladolid 2:1	0:3 FC Valencia
CD Leganés 1:1	1:1 Real Madrid

Can Espanyol upset the favorites? - Expert tips & analysis

Promoted team Espanyol Barcelona are of course the underdogs in this Espanyol - Atlético betting tip. They face an opponent from the top three of the league, are only in 15th place themselves and are by no means on the safe side in terms of staying in the league. Espanyol are currently exactly one point clear of the relegation zone, so a surprise win or at least a draw against Atlético would be a nice bonus. However, given recent results, it is unlikely that this will happen. Before the international break, Espanyol suffered a 2-1 defeat against RCD Mallorca - 7th in the table - and were also unable to secure a win against lower-placed FC Girona in a 1-1 draw. It is therefore unlikely that they will be able to succeed against a top 3 club. However, Espanyol have already shown in the 2024/25 season that they can hold their own at home against top clubs. Proof of this is the 1:0 home win against Real Madrid on matchday 22 at the beginning of February. In general, the Catalans' record in recent months is not too bad, despite their 15th place. Espanyol have only lost 2 of their last 9 matches in La Liga. However, the victory against Real was their last home win to date, which was almost two months ago.

Striking: Before this Espanyol - Atlético betting tip, it must be noted that the home side's defense in particular is quite stable. In the last 13 (!) games in La Liga, Espanyol have hardly conceded more than one goal, this was actually only the case in the aforementioned defeat against Mallorca. Accordingly, an under bet could be a promising option for this Saturday's game. In the second part of our soccer betting tip, we will see whether this is in line with Atlético's record. Basically, Espanyol can play relatively freely in this duel, after all, nobody expects the home side to win. As already mentioned, the recent results are anything but bad.

Last 5 results Espanyol Barcelona
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
15.03.2025	Primera Division	RCD Mallorca	Espanyol Barcelona	2:1 (0:0)	N
15.03.2025 - Primera Division
10.03.2025	Primera Division	Espanyol Barcelona	Girona	1:1 (0:0)	U
10.03.2025 - Primera Division
22.02.2025	Primera Division	Deportivo Alavés	Espanyol Barcelona	0:1 (0:0)	S
22.02.2025 - Primera Division
16.02.2025	Primera Division	Espanyol Barcelona	Athletic Bilbao	1:1 (0:0)	U
16.02.2025 - Primera Division
09.02.2025	Primera Division	Real Sociedad	Espanyol Barcelona	2:1 (1:0)	N
09.02.2025 - Primera Division

Bet on an Atlético away win - odds: 1.63

To Betsamigo

Will Atlético stay within striking distance? - Forecast & betting tip predictions

The visitors are one of the top teams in La Liga ahead of this Espanyol - Atlético betting tip. Long-term coach Diego Simeone's side are currently just 4 points off the top of the table, making it all the more important not to lose ground in the title race against a straggler like Espanyol. If you look at the Madrilenians' record before Saturday, there is a real danger of a slip-up. BAtlético have already suffered several setbacks against seemingly clearly weaker teams. A few weeks before the international break, for example, they lost 2-1 to Getafe, who were 14th at the time, and coupled with the 4-2 defeat to FC Barcelona a week later, Atlético have now gone two games without a win. Simeone's team also failed to score against Leganés (0:1) and Celta Vigo (1:1), although some of these opponents were well outside the top 10 in the league at the time of the clash. An away win on Saturday will therefore not be a foregone conclusion, although this means that the odds for such a win - which we believe are still quite likely - have recently been pushed up. However, Atlético have "only" won 6 of 13 away games so far, most recently 3-0 against another straggler, FC Valencia.

The head-to-head before this Espanyol - Atlético betting tip also favors the visitors. Although the last 3 meetings have all ended in a draw - which would also be a somewhat risky betting tip for Saturday - the visitors have not lost to Espanyol since 2019. However, they have only won once away from home during this period. With Correa & Koke, coach Simeone will also be without two key players at the weekend, but we still believe the away side have the advantage in terms of personnel. Aparticularly as Atlético have players who have already scored more than 10 goals this season, especially in attack. This individual class alone should be enough for a complete success on Saturday.

Last 5 results Atletico Madrid
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
16.03.2025	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	FC Barcelona	2:4 (1:0)	N
16.03.2025 - Primera Division
12.03.2025	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid	Real Madrid	1:0 (1:0)	S
12.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
09.03.2025	Primera Division	FC Getafe	Atletico Madrid	2:1 (0:0)	N
09.03.2025 - Primera Division
04.03.2025	UEFA Champions League	Real Madrid	Atletico Madrid	2:1 (1:1)	N
04.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
01.03.2025	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	Athletic Bilbao	1:0 (0:0)	S
01.03.2025 - Primera Division

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
28.08.2024	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	Espanyol Barcelona	0:0 (0:0)
28.08.2024 - Primera Division
24.05.2023	Primera Division	Espanyol Barcelona	Atletico Madrid	3:3 (0:2)
24.05.2023 - Primera Division
06.11.2022	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	Espanyol Barcelona	1:1 (0:0)
06.11.2022 - Primera Division
17.04.2022	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	Espanyol Barcelona	2:1 (0:0)
17.04.2022 - Primera Division
12.09.2021	Primera Division	Espanyol Barcelona	Atletico Madrid	1:2 (1:0)
12.09.2021 - Primera Division

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Espanyol Barcelona		:	Atletico Madrid
3 Wins 4
4 Draw 3
3 Defeats 3
10 Goals scored 20
10 Goals received 14
12 Shots on target 8

Espanyol Barcelona

37%

Ball possession

79%

Accuracy of passes

53%

Duels
won

Atletico Madrid

54%

Duels
won

86%

Accuracy of passes

48%

Ball possession

Espanyol Barcelona

9
Corners

9
Shots on target

16
Goal kicks
next to the goal

7
Goal kicks
blocked

15
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

5
Offside

7
yellow cards

0
red cards

Atletico Madrid

19
Corners

11
Shots on target

17
Goal kicks
next to the goal

12
Goal kicks
blocked

28
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

12
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

8
Offside

4
yellow cards

1
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Espanyol Barcelona

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,00

per game

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Atletico Madrid

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,00

per game

Goal difference

10 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

1.67

3.40

under 2.5 goals 61.61%

over 2.5 goals 38.39%

1.22

4.33

under 3.5 goals 77.25%

over 3.5 goals 22.75%

1.07

9.00

under 4.5 goals 88.85%

over 4.5 goals 11.15%

2.20

1.65

both teams to score - yes 42.64%

both teams to score - no 57.36%

What is our betting tip prediction?

In our opinion, Atlético is and remains the favorite in this duel, but is unlikely to celebrate a resounding victory. Nevertheless, at the end of our Espanyol - Atlético betting tip, we stick to our betting tip prediction, which we have already mentioned several times. Bets on an away win for Simeone's charges: bet 2

Espanyol face a Herculean task - analysis & betting tips

Atlético hoping for an away win

Espanyol Barcelona

Atletico Madrid

Can Espanyol upset the favorites? - Expert tips & analysis

Will Atlético stay within striking distance? - Forecast & betting tip predictions

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

What is our betting tip prediction?

Odd comparison Espanyol Barcelona - Atletico Madrid