Herculean task for Ecuador - forecast & betting tip
The record world champion from Brazil attacks
Next weekend, countless matches in the World Cup qualifiers for 2026 will take place in Europe and beyond. Our Ecuador - Brazil betting tip takes an analytical look at South America & provides you with the most important facts, figures and data for this clash as usual. Kick-off is on June 06 at 01:00 CET.
Average risk
Ecuador
- Ecuador relies on home advantage
- Ecuador is in second place in the World Cup qualifying table
- Defensively in particular, we see advantages for the home side
Brazil
- Brazil scored the second most goals in the qualifying group
- However, the record world champion is only in 4th place in the table
- In terms of personnel, we see overall advantages for Brazil
| Ecuador Home | Brazil Away |
|---|---|
| Jamaica 3:1 | 0:0 Uruguay |
| Venezuela 1:2 | 1:4 Paraguay |
| Honduras 2:1 | 1:1 USA |
| Bolivia 3:1 | 2:3 Mexico |
| Guatemala 2:0 | 3:3 Spain |
Will Ecuador remain unbeaten? - Analysis & betting predictions
In principle, the home side are the underdogs in this Ecuador - Brazil betting tip. However, one thing is clear: Ecuador is always a dangerous underdog, especially in home games. What's more, their two appearances so far in the current World Cup qualifiers have certainly boosted their confidence. Ecuador already have 7 victories to their name in the campaign that started in 2023, including a 2-1 win over Venezuela at home in 2025, followed by a goalless draw away to Chile, which was not necessarily to be expected. Why do we emphasize the home advantage in the case of Ecuador at the beginning of this Ecuador - Brazil betting tip? Because the year 2024 also suggests that this could become an important factor on Friday. After all, the home side have won every game played in front of their own fans in the past calendar year, with a strong goal difference to boot. Among others, Ecuador celebrated victories against Peru (1:0) and, above all, Bolivia (4:0). A goal or two should therefore also be possible against the top favorites from Brazil, although this will be a much more difficult task than against the aforementioned opponents.
Before this Ecuador - Brazil betting tip, Ecuador are even ahead of Brazil in the COMBOL qualifying table for the 2026 World Cup. With 23 points so far, they have only been beaten by Argentina and are therefore well on their way to the finals. To date, Ecuador have only suffered two defeats and have not lost a single one of their last five games in the qualifiers. With only 5 goals conceded in 14 games, they also have by far the best defense in the entire qualifying group. It is therefore quite possible that an Under bet will be profitable next Friday. In addition to the home advantage, Ecuador will once again be hoping for a solid defense. Piero Hincapie, among others, should ensure this. Together with PSG's Willian Pacho, the former Leverkusen player will form a real bulwark, while Brighton left-back Estupinan will be added to the mix.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Copa America |
Argentina
|
Ecuador
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1:1 (1:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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05.07.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Mexico
|
Ecuador
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.07.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Ecuador
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Jamaica
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3:1 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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27.06.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Ecuador
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Venezuela
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1:2 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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23.06.2024 - Copa America
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| International |
Ecuador
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Honduras
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2:1 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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16.06.2024 - International
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Ecuador
System: 4-2-3-1.
Brazil hoping for the Ancelotti effect - Analysis & expert tips
Before this Ecuador - Brazil betting tip, the five-time world champions were anything but convincing in qualifying. The Selecao are only in 4th place in the table after 14 completed matchdays. The current constellation makes a win this Friday almost a must-win. Because: With 21 points at present, Brazil are only one point ahead of fifth place, which still entitles them to participate in the finals, but would be tantamount to a real embarrassment. Speaking of embarrassment: Brazil celebrated two consecutive victories at the start of World Cup qualifying in 2023, but lost all of their last three matches in that calendar year, including against Uruguay (0:2), Colombia (1:2) and Argentina (0:1). 2024 then went a little better, with just one defeat against Paraguay (0:1) and victories in the duels with Peru (4:0) and Chile (1:0), albeit still not outstanding. In the current calendar year, they beat Colombia 2:1 at home to take revenge. At the same time, the 4-1 defeat to world champions Argentina was a real humiliation. It is clear from this Ecuador - Brazil betting tip that Brazil have enough quality to celebrate another important victory next Friday.
Almost without exception, all of the players in the squad are involved in one of the top five leagues in Europe, as well as some players from the domestic Serie A, some of whom are already on their way to Europe, such as young star Estevao. The clash with Ecuador will also be ex-Real coach Carlo Ancelotti's competitive and international debut on the bench of the record world champions. Not least thanks to his input, Brazil should regain the confidence that has characterized the team in many phases of previous qualifying campaigns.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Copa America |
Uruguay
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Brazil
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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07.07.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Brazil
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Colombia
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1:1 (1:1) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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03.07.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Paraguay
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Brazil
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1:4 (0:3) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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29.06.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Brazil
|
Costa Rica
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.06.2024 - Copa America
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| International |
USA
|
Brazil
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1:1 (1:1) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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13.06.2024 - International
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Brazil
System: 4-2-3-1.
| Home | Visitor | Result | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Ecuador
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Brazil
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1:1 (0:1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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27.01.2022 - World Cup 2022
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Brazil
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Ecuador
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1:1 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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27.06.2021 - Copa America
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Brazil
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Ecuador
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2:0 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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05.06.2021 - World Cup 2022
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Ecuador | : | Brazil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5 Wins 4 |
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2 Draw 5 |
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3 Defeats 1 |
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15 Goals scored 19 |
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10 Goals received 13 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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won
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next to the goal
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outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
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blocked
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in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Which betting tip should you place?
We have already shown that Ecuador are a dangerous underdog in our Ecuador - Brazil analysis. Nevertheless, we see Brazil as the favorites in this duel and also expect Carlo Ancelotti to be able to celebrate a successful debut as team boss at the Sugarloaf Mountain. You should therefore bet on an away win for the visitors: Bet 2.
