FC Burnley logo
Burnley FC
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Leeds United Leeds United Logo
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27.01.2025 - 21:00 - Turf Moor
England English Football League Championship
1 3.30
X 3.00
2 2.45

Burnley face Leeds United at home. Forecast, 27.01.2025

The pressure is on the hosts

Published on 22.01.2025 12:00.

Burnley FC are among the promotion candidates in the Championship this season, as are Leeds United. Both teams are also playing a very good season and are in the top 4 of the table. Burnley are currently in 4th place with 53 points and therefore in a play-off spot. Leeds have 3 points more in their account and are in 2nd place. The visitors would therefore be directly promoted to the Premier League. They are also only 2 points off the top of the table. However, the pressure is clearly on the hosts, as a defeat against Leeds would increase the gap to them to 6 points and they would probably lose touch with the top 2.

Burnley FC - Leeds United: 27.01.2025 - 21:00
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Betting tips today

Burnley FC

  • 4th place in the table
  • No goals conceded in 5 games
  • Still unbeaten in 13 home games

Leeds United

  • 2nd place in the table
  • Best offense in the league
  • Haven't lost in 9 games
Result tip
1:1
Both teams are at a similar level. Burnley have yet to lose a game at home, while Leeds are unbeaten in 9 games.
Racket English Football League Championship
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Leeds United 25 15 7 3 45:16 29 52
2 Burnley FC 25 13 10 2 30:9 21 49
3 Sheffield United 25 15 6 4 34:16 18 49
4 AFC Sunderland 25 13 8 4 38:22 16 47
5 FC Middlesbrough 25 11 7 7 42:31 11 40
6 West Bromwich Albion 25 9 12 4 31:20 11 39
7 Blackburn Rovers 24 11 6 7 28:22 6 39
8 FC Watford 24 11 4 9 34:34 0 37
9 Sheffield Wednesday 25 10 6 9 36:38 -2 36
10 Bristol City 25 8 10 7 32:30 2 34
11 Norwich City 25 8 9 8 41:36 5 33
12 Swansea City 25 9 6 10 29:29 0 33
13 FC Millwall 24 7 8 9 22:21 1 29
14 Coventry City FC 25 7 8 10 33:35 -2 29
15 Queens Park Rangers 25 6 11 8 27:33 -6 29
16 Preston North End 25 6 11 8 27:33 -6 29
17 Derby County 25 7 6 12 31:34 -3 27
18 Oxford United 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
19 Stoke City 25 6 8 11 24:32 -8 26
20 Luton Town 25 7 4 14 26:42 -16 25
21 FC Portsmouth 23 5 8 10 30:40 -10 23
22 Hull City 25 5 7 13 22:33 -11 22
23 Cardiff City 24 5 7 12 24:39 -15 22
24 Plymouth Argyle 24 4 7 13 24:53 -29 19

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Last 5 games Burnley FC home vs. Leeds United away
Burnley FC Home Leeds United Away
AFC Sunderland 0:0 3:3 Hull City
Stoke City 0:0 0:2 Stoke City
FC Watford 2:1 1:1 Preston North End
Derby County 0:0 1:0 Blackburn Rovers
FC Middlesbrough 1:1 3:4 Swansea City

Burnley must keep the league's best offense in check

Burnley FC naturally want to get back into the Premier League and don't have any bad cards to play, as the team is in 4th place in the table. 5 points currently separate them from the top of the table and 3 points from the important 2nd place that would entitle them to direct promotion. They have also remained unbeaten in recent weeks and are therefore in good form. Burnley have even conceded the fewest defeats of all teams, namely just 2 in 27 games. In addition to 14 wins, 11 games have also ended in a draw. First and foremost, the hosts have impressed with their defense. With just 9 goals conceded, they are by far the most stable team in the league. In the past 5 games, they have not conceded a single goal, but have only won 2 of them. Remarkable: 3 of the past 4 games ended with a 0-0 draw. In offense, they can usually only rely on one player this season and that is captain Josh Brownhill. He has already scored 9 goals and is the only player in the squad with more than 4 goals.

Last 5 results Burnley FC
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
22.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Plymouth Argyle
Burnley FC
0:5 (0:5) S
17.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Burnley FC
AFC Sunderland
0:0 (0:0) U
11.01.2025 FA Cup
FC Reading
Burnley FC
1:1 (0:0) U
04.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Blackburn Rovers
Burnley FC
0:1 (0:0) S
01.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Burnley FC
Stoke City
0:0 (0:0) U

Will Burnley remain unbeaten at home?

Burnley also have a remarkable record in their own stadium. They are still without defeat there after 13 games. Nevertheless, they are only 8th in the home table. This is mainly due to the fact that, in addition to 6 wins, a total of 7 games have ended in a draw. 15 goals in 13 games is also not a good figure, but they have only conceded 4 goals. That's less than 0.4 goals conceded per game. In the last 10 home games, they have conceded 2 goals.

Burnley FC

System: 4-3-3.

James Trafford
Connor Roberts CJ Egan-Riley Maxime Estève Bashir Humphreys
Josh Cullen Josh Laurent Jaidon Anthony
Josh Brownhill Lyle Foster Zian Flemming
The odds for a tip X are 3.25

Leeds could take over at the top of the table

Last season, Leeds United only missed out on promotion to the Premier League in the play-off final. They don't want that to happen again this year, which is why they are determined to finish in the top 2. At the moment, they are on 56 points after 27 matchdays and are in second place, just 2 points behind league leaders Sheffield United. A win against Burnley could therefore see them become the new Championship leaders. Their form certainly speaks in favor of this, as they have not lost in their last 9 league games. They have also won 6 of these 9 games. After 2 draws in a row, they celebrated another 3-0 win against Sheffield Wednesday on the last matchday. In contrast to their opponents, Leeds clearly have their strength in offense. 51 goals is the absolute best in the league. No other team has been able to break the 50-goal mark so far. Defensively, they cannot keep up with their opponents, but the 19 goals conceded in 27 games is also a good figure.

Last 5 results Leeds United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
22.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Leeds United
Norwich City
2:0 (1:0) S
19.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Leeds United
Sheffield Wednesday
3:0 (1:0) S
11.01.2025 FA Cup
Leeds United
Harrogate Town
1:0 (0:0) S
04.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Hull City
Leeds United
3:3 (1:0) U
01.01.2025 English Football League Championship
Leeds United
Blackburn Rovers
1:1 (0:0) U

Good record in the matches against Burnley

The two teams have met time and again in recent years, both in the Premier League and the Championship. Leeds have usually come out on top, as Burnley have only won one of their last six matches. Leeds, on the other hand, have won 4 games. However, the first duel in the current season ended with a 0:1 for Burnley. On 14.09.2024 Burnley won away from home with a somewhat surprising 0:1. However, Leeds could now remain unbeaten at Burnley for the 3rd game in a row.

Leeds United

System: 4-2-3-1.

Illan Meslier
Jayden Bogle Ethan Ampadu Joe Rodon Sam Byram
Ao Tanaka Joe Rothwell
Daniel James Brenden Aaronson Manor Solomon
Joël Piroe
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
14.09.2024 English Football League Championship
Leeds United
Burnley FC
0:1 (0:1)
02.01.2022 England Premier League
Leeds United
Burnley FC
3:1 (1:0)
29.08.2021 England Premier League
Burnley FC
Leeds United
1:1 (0:0)
15.05.2021 England Premier League
Burnley FC
Leeds United
0:4 (0:1)
27.12.2020 England Premier League
Leeds United
Burnley FC
1:0 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Burnley FC : Leeds United

5

Wins

7

5

Draw

3

0

Defeats

0

14

Goals scored

22

4

Goals received

6

12

Shots on target

8

Burnley FC
59%
Ball possession
86%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
Leeds United
52%
Duels
won
84%
Accuracy of passes
61%
Ball possession
Burnley FC
6
Corners
13
Shots on target
9
Goal kicks
next to the goal
7
Goal kicks
blocked
20
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
9
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards
Leeds United
24
Corners
11
Shots on target
10
Goal kicks
next to the goal
17
Goal kicks
blocked
25
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
1
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Burnley FC
14
Goals scored
4
Goals received
ø 1,40
per game
+10
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
Leeds United
22
Goals scored
6
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+16
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 64.65%
over 2.5 goals 35.35%
under 3.5 goals 81.59%
over 3.5 goals 18.41%
under 4.5 goals 91.53%
over 4.5 goals 8.47%
both teams to score - yes 43.07%
both teams to score - no 56.93%

We expect a points split - Our analysis

Burnley have not lost a single home game this season. Leeds have been unbeaten for 9 games. Both teams are similarly strong, which is why we would recommend a risk tip X for a single betting slip. The first direct duel ended 0:1 for Burnley. The two teams neutralized each other well. We could imagine something similar happening again this time, which is why we would bet on under 2.5 goals as a safety option.

Odd comparison Burnley FC - Leeds United

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