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Borussia Dortmund
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Sporting Lissabon Sporting Lissabon Logo
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19.02.2025 - 18:45
UEFA Champions League
1 10.00
X 4.00
2 24.00

Dortmund go into the second leg against Sporting with a 3-0 advantage. Prediction, 19.02.25

Will Dortmund make it through to the round of 16?

Published on 14.02.2025 16:00.

Dortmund managed a small victory in the first leg, as they won their first game under Niko Kovac. The 3-0 win in Lisbon naturally puts them in a comfortable starting position and they could even afford to lose by two goals at home in the second leg. Dortmund will therefore want to play a more defensive game, while Sporting Lisbon will have to take some risks. The Portuguese side only just managed to qualify for the play-offs, finishing in 23rd place. They have failed to win their last 5 Champions League games, making them the clear underdogs in the second leg.

You can find more expert tips here:

Betting tips today

Borussia Dortmund

  • First leg won 3:0
  • Won 3 out of 4 home games in the CL
  • Scored in every game so far

Sporting Lissabon

  • 23rd place in the group stage
  • Not won the last 5 games
  • Only 4 goals in the last 5 games
Result tip
3:2
Dortmund are once again favorites at home. The hosts have won 6 of 11 home games in the league. Sporting will have to take some risks in the second leg and will score a goal or two.
Last 5 games Borussia Dortmund home vs. Sporting Lissabon away
Borussia Dortmund Home Sporting Lissabon Away
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 1:1 FC Porto
Schachtar Donezk 3:1 2:1 RB Leipzig
SV Werder Bremen 2:2 0:3 Rio Ave FC
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:3 4:4 Vitória Guimarães
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 0:0 Gil Vicente FC

Can Dortmund now start a small series?

The Black & Yellows have fallen far short of their own expectations so far this season. They failed to win the DFB Cup at an early stage and are only 11th in the German Bundesliga after 21 match days. The league title has long since been chopped off and a Champions League place will also be difficult to achieve. The club's management reacted a few weeks ago and hired a new coach in Niko Kovac. His debut was lost 2:1 against Stuttgart, but in the Champions League they won 3:0 at Sporting Lisbon and are now on the verge of reaching the round of 16. In general, Dortmund put in the best performances in the Champions League this year. With 5 wins from 8 group games, they achieved a good 10th place. They won their last group game 3:1 against Donetsk. With 22 goals, they were one of the best attacking teams in the top flight. Top striker Serhou Guirassy, who is currently the top scorer in the Champions League with 10 goals, has played a big part in this. They have only lost one international match at Signal Iduna Park and that was against FC Barcelona 2:3. 8 of their 9 matches in the Champions League so far have ended with more than 2.5 goals.

Last 5 results Borussia Dortmund
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.02.2025 1st German Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
Borussia Dortmund
2:0 (2:0) N
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Sporting Lissabon
Borussia Dortmund
0:3 (0:0) S
08.02.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
1:2 (0:0) N
01.02.2025 1st German Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
1:2 (0:1) S
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
Schachtar Donezk
3:1 (2:0) S

The defence must stabilize

Dortmund have major defensive problems in the Bundesliga in particular. They have already conceded 36 goals in 21 games! Only the 3 teams currently in a relegation place are worse in this respect. Coach Niko Kovac now has all 3 central defenders available again and there are hardly any injuries in the squad. Only Ramy Bensebaini and Felix Nmecha will not be available for the match against Sporting. By the way: Dortmund have won 6 out of 11 home games in the league and only conceded 2 defeats.

Borussia Dortmund

System: 4-3-3.

Gregor Kobel
Julian Ryerson Emre Can Waldemar Anton Marcel Sabitzer
Ramy Bensebaini Karim Adeyemi Julian Brandt
Pascal Groß Jamie Gittens Serhou Guirassy
Dortmund have odds of 1.88 to win the match

Sporting Lisbon is on the decline

The Portuguese side have made a sensational start to this Champions League season, picking up 10 points from their first 4 games. This included victories against Lille, Sturm Graz and even Manchester City! The English champions were defeated 4:1. Since the departure of coach Ruben Amorim, however, they have lost their sovereignty. Four defeats from the next five games in the Champions League followed. Only against FC Bologna did they manage a 1:1 draw at home. They slipped to 23rd place in the table and were lucky to even reach the play-offs. In recent weeks, they have struggled to score goals in particular. In none of their last 5 Champions League games did they manage to score more than one goal. Top scorer Viktor Gyökeres scored just one goal in these last 5 matches in the top flight. He also failed to score in the league in the last 3 matchdays. In the second leg, however, they will have to risk a lot to make up the 3 goal deficit against Dortmund.

Last 5 results Sporting Lissabon
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.02.2025 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
FC Arouca
2:2 (1:2) U
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Sporting Lissabon
Borussia Dortmund
0:3 (0:0) N
07.02.2025 Primeira League
FC Porto
Sporting Lissabon
1:1 (0:1) U
02.02.2025 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
SC Farense
3:1 (2:1) S
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
Sporting Lissabon
FC Bologna
1:1 (0:1) U

Table leader in Portugal

Although they are no longer as dominant in the Portuguese league as they were a few months ago,they still have a 4-point lead over 2nd-placed Benfica Lisbon. Sporting recently won 3 games in a row before having to settle for a 1-1 draw against FC Porto on the last matchday. The reigning champions conceded just 2 goals in the last 4 matchdays, underlining their status as the best defensive line in the league.

Sporting Lisbon

System: 4-2-3-1.

Rui Silva
Iván Fresneda Jeremiah St. Juste Ousmane Diomande Matheus Reis
João Simões Zeno Debast
Geovany Quenda Francisco Trincão Maximiliano Araújo
Conrad Harder
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Sporting Lissabon
Borussia Dortmund
0:3 (0:0)
24.11.2021 UEFA Champions League
Sporting Lissabon
Borussia Dortmund
3:1 (2:0)
28.09.2021 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Lissabon
1:0 (1:0)
02.11.2016 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Lissabon
1:0
18.10.2016 UEFA Champions League
Sporting Lissabon
Borussia Dortmund
1:2

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Borussia Dortmund : Sporting Lissabon

3

Wins

4

1

Draw

4

6

Defeats

2

16

Goals scored

15

19

Goals received

11

12

Shots on target

8

Borussia Dortmund
64%
Ball possession
90%
Accuracy of passes
46%
Duels
won
Sporting Lissabon
52%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
54%
Ball possession
Borussia Dortmund
19
Corners
12
Shots on target
12
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
23
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
12
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
3
Offside
4
yellow cards
1
red cards
Sporting Lissabon
19
Corners
18
Shots on target
16
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
27
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
18
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
1
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund
16
Goals scored
19
Goals received
ø 1,60
per game
-3
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Sporting Lissabon
15
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+4
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 43.88%
over 2.5 goals 56.12%
under 3.5 goals 62.72%
over 3.5 goals 37.28%
under 4.5 goals 78.35%
over 4.5 goals 21.65%
both teams to score - yes 58.26%
both teams to score - no 41.74%

Dortmund will advance to the round of 16 - Our prediction

Dortmund go into the second leg with a 3-0 lead and will defend it. Although they have this lead, Niko Kovac's team will play to win. Another win would therefore not surprise us. Sporting will have to take some risks and could score a goal or two as a result. There could well be more than 3.5 goals in the game this time - our alternative betting tip.

Odd comparison Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lissabon

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