Benfica Lissabon Logo
Benfica Lissabon
:
Sporting Lissabon Sporting Lissabon Logo
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
D
10.05.2025 - 19:00 - Estádio da Luz
Portugal Primeira League
1 2.20
X 3.50
2 3.40

Benfica and Sporting battle for the title in Portugal. Prediction, 10.05.25

Showdown in the Portuguese league

Published on 06.05.2025 06:01.

It could hardly be more exciting. The two top teams, Benfica Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon, meet in the derby with two match days to go and will probably decide the title between them. At the moment, both teams have exactly 78 points. Sporting are at the top of the table due to their slightly better goal difference. The visitors also narrowly won the first derby of the season, but Benfica now have home advantage. It is impossible to name a favorite in this match, especially as both teams are in good form and have won all of their last matches.

Benfica Lissabon - Sporting Lissabon: 10.05.2025 - 19:00
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Benfica Lissabon

  • 2nd place in the table
  • 3 wins in a row
  • Best home team with 14 wins in 16 games

Sporting Lissabon

  • Table leader
  • 4 wins in a row
  • Only one of 16 away games lost
Result tip
2:1
Benfica are slight favorites in our eyes due to their home advantage. 6 of the last 8 matches have ended with goals on both sides.
Racket Primeira League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Sporting Lissabon 16 13 1 2 44:10 34 40
2 FC Porto 16 13 1 2 40:9 31 40
3 Benfica 16 12 2 2 37:9 28 38
4 CD Santa Clara 16 10 0 6 18:16 2 30
5 SC Braga 16 8 4 4 28:18 10 28
6 Vitória Guimarães 16 6 6 4 22:18 4 24
7 Casa Pia AC 16 6 5 5 18:19 -1 23
8 Moreirense FC 16 6 3 7 21:24 -3 21
9 FC Famalicão 16 4 7 5 19:19 0 19
10 Rio Ave FC 16 5 4 7 17:27 -10 19
11 Gil Vicente FC 16 4 6 6 18:25 -7 18
12 CF Estrela Amadora 16 4 4 8 14:25 -11 16
13 GD Estoril Praia 16 3 6 7 14:26 -12 15
15 Nacional Madeira 16 3 4 9 11:23 -12 13
16 SC Farense 16 3 4 9 11:23 -12 13
17 Boavista 16 2 6 8 10:23 -13 12
18 FC Arouca 16 3 3 10 10:27 -17 12

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Last 5 games Benfica home vs. Sporting Lissabon away
Benfica Home Sporting Lissabon Away
Nacional Madeira 3:0 1:3 Casa Pia AC
FC Barcelona 0:1 0:1 Gil Vicente FC
Sporting Braga 1:0 0:0 Borussia Dortmund
Boavista Porto 3:0 1:1 FC Porto
AS Monaco 3:3 2:1 RB Leipzig

Benfica Lisbon do not want to be runners-up again

Last season, they had to settle for the runner-up title behind Sporting. This should not happen again this year. The team has it in its own hands with two matchdays to go, and in a direct clash in front of the home crowd. Benfica could therefore be a little hungrier and take advantage of their home strength. The Eagles have lost 14 of their 16 home games, with only one defeat coming at the start of the year against SC Braga (1:2). Since then, they have gone 7 home games in a row unbeaten, winning 6 of them. Their goal difference is also outstanding and stands at 51:11 goals. This makes them both the best defense and the best offense of all teams at home. With 78 points in their account, a win against Sporting would probably give them one foot in the championship. .

Last 5 results Benfica Lissabon
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
16.03.2025 Primeira League
Rio Ave FC
Benfica
2:3 (0:1) S
11.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
FC Barcelona
Benfica
3:1 (3:1) N
08.03.2025 Primeira League
Benfica
Nacional Madeira
3:0 (2:0) S
05.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Benfica
FC Barcelona
0:1 (0:0) N
26.02.2025 Taça de Portugal
Benfica
SC Braga
1:0 (1:0) S

The squad seems ready for the game

Coach Bruno Lage has largely been spared serious injuries in the squad this season. In Vangelis Pavlidis, they also have a reliable goalscorer in the team. The Greek has already scored 28 goals in all competitions this year, 18 of them in the league alone. The only players that coach Lage will probably have to do without are Alexander Bah, Manu Silva and Renato Sanches. However, suitable replacements have been found for all of these players in recent weeks.

Benfica Lisbon

System: 4-2-3-1.

Anatoliy Trubin
Tomás Araújo António Silva Nicolás Otamendi Álvaro Carreras
Fredrik Aursnes Florentino Luís
Orkun Kökçü Ángel Di María Vangelis Pavlidis
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Our safest recommendation: Both teams score YES

Sporting could defend its championship title

The visitors started the season as defending champions and although they lost their successful coach Ruben Amorim in the middle of the season, they are top of the table after 32 matchdays, but the championship race is far from decided. While Benfica absolutely need a win, Sporting would probably be perfectly happy with a draw away to the Eagles. Thanks to the goal difference, they would remain top of the table and have the easier game on the final matchday. Sporting, like their opponents, are in very good form and have even won their last 4 games in the league. They won their last away game 0:5 against Boavista Porto. They have only lost 2 games all season, one of them away from home. They are number 1 in the table with 11 wins, 4 draws and just one defeat.

Last 5 results Sporting Lissabon
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.03.2025 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
FC Famalicão
3:1 (1:1) S
09.03.2025 Primeira League
Casa Pia AC
Sporting Lissabon
1:3 (1:2) S
03.03.2025 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
GD Estoril Praia
3:1 (2:0) S
27.02.2025 Taça de Portugal
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting Lissabon
0:1 (0:0) S
19.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Lissabon
0:0 (0:0) U

Sporting has a good record in the derby

The last time this duel took place was almost 3 months ago. Back then, they met in the Allianz Cup and Benfica prevailed on penalties. However, that was Sporting's only defeat in the last five meetings. They have remained unbeaten on four occasions and won three, but all of their victories have come at home. They have not won the last 3 games at Benfica, but 2 of them ended in a draw. Also interesting: In 6 of the last 8 encounters, goals were scored by both sides.

Sporting Lisbon

System: 4-2-3-1.

Rui Silva
Eduardo Quaresma Jeremiah St. Juste Gonçalo Inácio Geny Catamo
Zeno Debast Hidemasa Morita
Maximiliano Araújo Francisco Trincão Pedro Gonçalves
Viktor Gyökeres
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
11.01.2025 Taça da Liga
Sporting Lissabon
Benfica
1:1 (1:1)
06.04.2024 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
Benfica
2:1 (1:1)
02.04.2024 Taça de Portugal
Benfica
Sporting Lissabon
2:2 (0:0)
29.02.2024 Taça de Portugal
Sporting Lissabon
Benfica
2:1 (1:0)
12.11.2023 Primeira League
Benfica
Sporting Lissabon
2:1 (0:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Benfica : Sporting Lissabon

7

Wins

5

1

Draw

4

2

Defeats

1

19

Goals scored

17

11

Goals received

11

12

Shots on target

8

Benfica
54%
Ball possession
83%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Duels
won
Sporting Lissabon
52%
Duels
won
87%
Accuracy of passes
63%
Ball possession
Benfica
28
Corners
31
Shots on target
17
Goal kicks
next to the goal
19
Goal kicks
blocked
43
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
24
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
11
Offside
1
yellow cards
0
red cards
Sporting Lissabon
15
Corners
19
Shots on target
11
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
32
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
9
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Benfica
19
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
+8
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Sporting Lissabon
17
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 1,70
per game
+6
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 46.30%
over 2.5 goals 53.70%
under 3.5 goals 66.18%
over 3.5 goals 33.82%
under 4.5 goals 81.92%
over 4.5 goals 18.08%
both teams to score - yes 57.84%
both teams to score - no 42.16%

Goals on both sides are to be expected - Our prediction

Predicting a win in such an evenly matched game is almost impossible. Ultimately, the championship title is at stake for both teams and a lot can happen in a game like this. Based on the last direct duels, we would place a bet on "Both teams score YES". However, we would still slightly favor Benfica in their own stadium and give a double chance 1/X.

Odd comparison Benfica Lissabon - Sporting Lissabon

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