Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
:
Manchester United Manchester United Logo
W
W
W
D
W
D
L
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W
06.10.2024 - 15:00
England England Premier League
1 3.40
X 3.90
2 5.25

Aston Villa want to plunge Manchester United further into crisis. AI forecast, 06.10.2024

Can the Red Devils make an important escape in the Premier League?

Published on 02.10.2024 09:03.

Last season's 4th-placed team have made another strong start and are in 5th place in the table after 6 matchdays. They are just 2 points behind the top of the table and have only lost one game this season. Manchester United's season so far has been a completely different story. The Red Devils are in a real crisis early on and are only 13th in the table. Their record is currently negative and another defeat could see them move even closer to the relegation places. Despite all the speculation, coach Erik ten Hag does not seem to be up for discussion.

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Aston Villa

  • 5th place in the table
  • Won 4 out of 6 games
  • Recently only 2:2 against Ipswich Town

Manchester United

  • 13th place in the table
  • 3 defeats in 6 games
  • Only 5 goals scored
Ergebnistipp
2:1
Aston Villa will be looking for their 5th win in 7 games and a return to the top 4 in the table, while ManU will be hoping for their first goal in 2 games.

The AI prediction does not predict victory

The artificial intelligence has no favorite despite the different performances of the two teams. This will primarily be due to the high quality of Manchester United, which is undoubtedly there. However, the Red Devils have had major problems scoring goals so far and this could continue. The AI therefore sees an over/under bet on under 3.5 goals as the best betting option.

Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36:15 21 37
2 FC Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33:15 18 36
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35:20 15 35
4 Manchester City 16 10 3 3 38:18 20 33
5 Tottenham 16 9 3 4 33:23 10 30
6 Manchester United 16 9 0 7 18:21 -3 27
7 Newcastle United 16 8 2 6 33:21 12 26
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33:28 5 26
9 West Ham United 16 7 3 6 26:30 -4 24
10 FC Fulham 16 6 3 7 26:26 0 21
11 FC Brentford 16 5 4 7 23:22 1 19
12 FC Chelsea 16 5 4 7 26:26 0 19
13 Wolverhampton 16 5 4 7 21:26 -5 19
14 AFC Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21:30 -9 19
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15:23 -8 16
16 Nottingham Forest 16 3 5 8 17:28 -11 14
17 FC Everton 16 7 2 7 20:20 0 13
18 Luton Town 16 2 3 11 17:32 -15 9
19 Burnley FC 16 2 2 12 16:34 -18 8
20 Sheffield United 16 2 2 12 12:41 -29 8

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Last 5 games Aston Villa home vs. Manchester United away
Aston Villa Home Manchester United Away
FC Bayern Munich 1:0 3:3 FC Porto
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 3:1 0:0 Crystal Palace
FC Everton 3:2 0:3 FC Southampton
FC Arsenal 0:2 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Athletic Bilbao 3:2 1:1 Manchester City

Current form Aston Villa

Aston Villa showed last season that they can compete with the best teams in the Premier League. Although they are not the favorites for the league title, they still have the chance to attack at the top, especially at the start of the season. With 13 points after 6 games, they are currently in 5th place in the table, but are only 2 points behind league leaders Liverpool FC. With a win, they could even overtake them or stay ahead. If they had got an expected win against promoted Ipswich Town on the last matchday, they would be level on points with the Reds. However, it was only enough for a 2-2 draw, their first of the season. Their only defeat came at home in the top match against Arsenal FC. They won the remaining 4 games. While the offense around the two strikers Ollie Watkins and Jhon Duran looks very well coordinated, the defense still has big problems. 9 goals conceded in 6 games is clearly too many for a top team. Especially as they have not managed to keep a clean sheet in a single game.

Last 5 results Aston Villa
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
02.10.2024 UEFA Champions League
Aston Villa
FC Bayern Munich
1:0 (0:0) S
29.09.2024 England Premier League
Ipswich Town
Aston Villa
2:2 (1:2) U
24.09.2024 EFL - Carabao Cup
Wycombe Wanderers
Aston Villa
1:2 (0:0) S
21.09.2024 England Premier League
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton
3:1 (0:1) S
17.09.2024 UEFA Champions League
BSC Young Boys Bern
Aston Villa
0:3 (0:2) S

Strong performances in the cup competitions

They qualified for the UEFA Champions League thanks to their 4th place finish in the previous season. They also managed to win their first group game there. In the away game against Young Boys Bern, they won a very clear 0:3 victory and even kept a clean sheet. The team also made a successful debut in the English EFL Cup. Entering the 3rd round, they were able to beat Wycombe Wanderers 1:3. Aston Villa have now been unbeaten in 6 competitive matches.

Aston Villa

System: 4-2-3-1.

Emiliano Martínez
Ezri Konsa Diego Carlos Pau Torres Lucas Digne
Amadou Onana Youri Tielemans
John McGinn Morgan Rogers Jacob Ramsey
Ollie Watkins
The odds for Aston Villa to win are 2.20

Manchester United is a shadow of its former self

The Red Devils have had the worst start to the season in recent years and are only 13th in the table after six matchdays. They are currently closer to the relegation places than the top 4, which is hardly surprising given their negative record. The team has won just 2 of its first 6 games and has already conceded 3 defeats. The only convincing win came away from promoted Southampton on matchday 4. However, they have failed to score in their last two games. After a 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace, they were beaten 3-0 by Tottenham Hotspur last weekend. They have now failed to score in 3 of their last 4 league games. Not a single player in the squad has scored more than one goal. To make matters worse, Bruno Fernandes, supposedly their best attacking player, will also be missing due to a suspension. The Portuguese will therefore not be able to help improve their poor record of just 5 goals in 6 games.

Last 5 results Manchester United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
03.10.2024 UEFA Europa League
FC Porto
Manchester United
3:3 (2:2) U
29.09.2024 England Premier League
Manchester United
Tottenham
0:3 (0:1) N
25.09.2024 UEFA Europa League
Manchester United
FC Twente Enschede
1:1 (1:0) U
21.09.2024 England Premier League
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
0:0 (0:0) U
17.09.2024 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester United
FC Barnsley
7:0 (3:0) S

The strong record against Aston Villa should be encouraging

One of the few statistics that should encourage Manchester United fans is their direct record against Aston Villa. They have won all of their last 4 matches against them. Last season, they won the league encounters 3-2 and 1-2. The last defeat to date came in November 2022 when they were beaten 3-2 away from home. However, it was ManU's only defeat in their last 7 meetings with Aston Villa.

Manchester United

System: 4-2-3-1.

André Onana
Noussair Mazraoui Matthijs de Ligt Lisandro Martínez Diogo Dalot
Kobbie Mainoo Manuel Ugarte
Alejandro Garnacho Christian Eriksen Marcus Rashford
Joshua Zirkzee
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
11.02.2024 England Premier League
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1:2 (0:1)
26.12.2023 England Premier League
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3:2 (0:2)
30.04.2023 England Premier League
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1:0 (1:0)
10.11.2022 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester United
Aston Villa
4:2 (0:0)
06.11.2022 England Premier League
Aston Villa
Manchester United
3:1 (2:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Aston Villa : Manchester United

7

Wins

3

1

Draw

4

2

Defeats

3

18

Goals scored

17

12

Goals received

13

12

Shots on target

8

Aston Villa
54%
Ball possession
87%
Accuracy of passes
49%
Duels
won
Manchester United
55%
Duels
won
85%
Accuracy of passes
52%
Ball possession
Aston Villa
22
Corners
13
Shots on target
18
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
30
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
Manchester United
24
Corners
18
Shots on target
16
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
37
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
offside
6
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Aston Villa
18
Goals scored
12
Goals received
ø 1,80
per game
+6
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Manchester United
17
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 1,70
per game
+4
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 36.34%
over 2.5 goals 63.66%
under 3.5 goals 55.84%
over 3.5 goals 44.16%
under 4.5 goals 74.09%
over 4.5 goals 25.91%
both teams to score - yes 66.31%
both teams to score - no 33.69%

Aston Villa are slight favorites for us - the forecast

The hosts proved at the start of the season that last season's 4th place was not a flash in the pan, but that they have established themselves among the top teams. In our opinion, they are therefore also the favorites in the home match against a struggling Manchester United. With odds of 2.20, a home win is also quite lucrative. However, the visitors' poor attacking line-up does not suggest that the Red Devils will score too many goals. We would therefore also place a betting tip on under 3.5 goals.

Odd comparison Aston Villa - Manchester United

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