AS Roma Logo
AS Rom
:
Lazio Rom Lazio Rom Logo
W
W
L
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
05.01.2025 - 20:45 - Olympiastadion Rom
Italien Serie A
1 2.60
X 3.30
2 2.95

AS Roma - Lazio Rome betting tips & predictions

Matchday 19 in Serie A: Who will win the capital derby?

The new year is off to a great start for soccer fans. Because this Sunday evening (January 5, 2025) the capital derby in the Olimpico between AS Roma and Lazio will take place in Serie A. At 8.45 pm, the thrilling match will kick off, for which we have provided you with our expert tips in advance and compiled all the important information for your next betting tips in this betting tip analysis. Aside from a small detour to the AI forecast, you will of course also find particularly lucrative odds provided by the bookmakers for the explosive Derby della Capitale in this prediction.

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Betting tips today

AS Rom

  • In nine home games at the Olimpico, Roma have not drawn a single match.
  • Most recently, AS Roma have won four times in a row at home, always by at least three goals.
  • In seven of the last eight capital city derbies, the Both Teams Not To Score was successful.

Lazio Rom

  • Lazio Rome go into the 19th matchday of the 2024/25 Serie A season in fourth place in the table.
  • The Romans have only drawn twice against their opponents this season.
  • In ten of their last eleven matches away from home, they have scored at least one goal themselves.
Ergebnistipp
0:1
When the two teams from the capital meet, there have been few goals scored recently. However, Lazio have scored in ten of their last eleven away matches.
Racket Serie A
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Atalanta Bergamo 18 13 2 3 43:20 23 41
2 SSC Neapel 18 13 2 3 27:12 15 41
3 Inter Mailand 17 12 4 1 45:15 30 40
4 Lazio Rom 18 11 2 5 33:25 8 35
5 ACF Fiorentina 17 9 5 3 31:15 16 32
6 Juventus Turin 18 7 11 0 30:15 15 32
7 FC Bologna 17 7 7 3 25:21 4 28
8 AC Milan 17 7 6 4 26:17 9 27
9 Udinese Calcio 18 7 3 8 23:28 -5 24
10 AS Rom 18 5 5 8 24:24 0 20
11 FC Turin 18 5 5 8 19:24 -5 20
12 Empoli 18 4 7 7 17:21 -4 19
13 CFC Genua 18 4 7 7 16:27 -11 19
14 FC Parma 18 4 6 8 25:34 -9 18
15 Como 1907 18 4 6 8 20:30 -10 18
16 Hellas Verona 18 6 0 12 24:42 -18 18
17 Lecce 18 4 4 10 11:31 -20 16
18 Cagliari Calcio 18 3 5 10 16:31 -15 14
19 FC Venedig 18 3 4 11 17:31 -14 13
20 Monza 18 1 7 10 16:25 -9 10

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Last 5 games AS Rom home vs. Lazio Rom away
AS Rom Home Lazio Rom Away
FC Parma 5:0 1:2 US Lecce
Sampdoria Genua 4:1 1:3 Ajax Amsterdam
Sporting Braga 3:0 0:1 SSC Neapel
US Lecce 4:1 3:1 FC Parma
Atalanta Bergamo 0:2 0:1 AC Monza

What's the betting tip for AS Roma vs Lazio Roma?

Our football predictions start with the hosts, who have had a mediocre 2024/25 Serie A season so far. Apart from five wins and five draws, Roma have already suffered eight defeats, while the goal difference is balanced (24:24). It is also striking that AS Roma have never drawn in their nine home games and have won all five at the Olimpico.

Last 5 results AS Rom
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
22.12.2024 Serie A
AS Rom
FC Parma
5:0 (2:0) S
18.12.2024 Coppa Italia
AS Rom
Sampdoria Genua
4:1 (3:0) S
15.12.2024 Serie A
Como 1907
AS Rom
2:0 (0:0) N
12.12.2024 UEFA Europa League
AS Rom
SC Braga
3:0 (1:0) S
07.12.2024 Serie A
AS Rom
Lecce
4:1 (1:1) S

A home match record that is absolutely impressive

We have recently seen a slight upturn in form at AS Roma. Only one of their last six matches in all competitions was lost. The capital team lost 2-0 to Calcio Como. This was followed by clear home victories against Sampdoria Genoa (4:1) in the Coppa Italia and against FC Parma (5:0) in Serie A as well as a 1:1 draw at AC Milan.In the last four home games, which Roma have won in all competitions, they have always scored three or more goals. In the last six games at the Olimpico, we have registered 25 goals, an average of just over four per match.

AS Rome

System: 4-3-3.

Svilar
Mancini Hummels Ndicka Saelemaekers
Kone Paredes Angeliño
Dybala El Shaarawy Dovbyk
WE RECOMMEND THE DOUBLE CHANCE X2 WITH BETTING odds of 1.52

How good is Lazio Rome's current form?

In the second part of our analysis, we now turn our attention to Lazio. The visitors are definitely favorites going into this game, as they are in fourth place in the Serie A table ahead of matchday 19 in 2024/25. They already have eleven wins to their name. Lazio have also drawn two more times, the second fewest in the entire Serie A. Only Hellas Verona have yet to leave their opponents without a winner.

Last 5 results Lazio Rom
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
28.12.2024 Serie A
Lazio Rom
Atalanta Bergamo
1:1 (1:0) U
21.12.2024 Serie A
Lecce
Lazio Rom
1:2 (0:1) S
16.12.2024 Serie A
Lazio Rom
Inter Mailand
0:6 (0:2) N
12.12.2024 UEFA Europa League
Ajax Amsterdam
Lazio Rom
1:3 (0:1) S
08.12.2024 Serie A
SSC Neapel
Lazio Rom
0:1 (0:0) S

Very similar form curve to the arch-rival

Meanwhile, Lazio Roma's form curve reads very similarly to that of their arch-rivals. In the last six competitive matches, the club has only suffered one defeat, but it was a tough one. In the home game against Inter Milan, they were thrashed 6-0. The capital city side then managed to at least make up for this with a 2:1 win at US Lecce. They also managed a 1-1 draw against league leaders Atalanta Bergamo just before the turn of the year, only managing to equalize late on.

Lazio Rome

System: 4-2-3-1.

Provedel
Marušić Fuentes Romagnoli Tavares
Guendouzi Rovella
Tchaouna Dele-Bashiru Zaccagni
Castellanos

Numerous draws and little to no goals recently

To conclude this analysis, today's betting tips are all about the H2H comparison. All scores aside, there has never been more than one goal scored in the last four derbies. Five times in a row and in seven out of eight matches, one club scored one or more goals and the Both Teams Not To Score worked out. It is also striking that the most common outcome in 162 derbies to date has been a draw X. This is because there has been no winner 61 times. Meanwhile, Roma have prevailed 58 times, while Lazio have won the derby in the capital 43 times.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
06.04.2024 Serie A
AS Rom
Lazio Rom
1:0 (1:0)
10.01.2024 Coppa Italia
Lazio Rom
AS Rom
1:0 (0:0)
12.11.2023 Serie A
Lazio Rom
AS Rom
0:0 (0:0)
19.03.2023 Serie A
Lazio Rom
AS Rom
1:0 (0:0)
06.11.2022 Serie A
AS Rom
Lazio Rom
0:1 (0:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AS Rom : Lazio Rom

4

Wins

6

2

Draw

2

4

Defeats

2

21

Goals scored

15

13

Goals received

13

12

Shots on target

8

AS Rom
60%
Ball possession
87%
Accuracy of passes
57%
Duels
won
Lazio Rom
53%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
57%
Ball possession
AS Rom
16
Corners
20
Shots on target
19
Goal kicks
next to the goal
6
Goal kicks
blocked
31
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
15
offside
7
yellow cards
0
red cards
Lazio Rom
10
Corners
16
Shots on target
15
Goal kicks
next to the goal
4
Goal kicks
blocked
16
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
19
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
3
offside
1
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AS Rom
21
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 2,10
per game
+8
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
Lazio Rom
15
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+2
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 52.63%
over 2.5 goals 47.37%
under 3.5 goals 71.74%
over 3.5 goals 28.26%
under 4.5 goals 85.00%
over 4.5 goals 15.00%
both teams to score - yes 53.43%
both teams to score - no 46.57%

Our expert tips & predictions for AS Roma vs Lazio Roma

The draw was the most common outcome between the two Roman arch-rivals. However, because AS Roma have yet to draw at home, we opted for the Double Chance X2 at the expense of far better odds. In addition, numerous matches have ended with a maximum of goals on one side. That's why the Both Teams Not To Score offers a little more risk.

Odd comparison AS Rom - Lazio Rom

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