AS Roma Logo
AS Rom
:
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao Logo
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L
D
D
W
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L
W
26.09.2024 - 21:00 - Olympiastadion Rom
UEFA Europa League
1 2.02
X 3.40
2 3.90

Balanced opening match between AS Roma and Bilbao. AI prediction, 26.09.24

Who will start the Europa League successfully?

Published on 23.09.2024 09:21.

The Europa League is now also starting the season with the new format. On matchday 1, there are several top duels, one of which is certainly AS Roma v Athletic Bilbao. Both teams are at least among the favorites and a place in the semi-finals seems possible in any case. However, Roma have not had a good start to the season and changed their coach a week ago. Under Ivan Juric, however, they won their first game 3:0 and are clearly on the upswing. Bilbao, on the other hand, have been in top form since the start of the season and are in 3rd place in Spain behind Barcelona and Real Madrid. After 3 wins in a row, they now also want to win the Europa League.

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AS Rom

  • 10th place in Italy
  • First win on the last matchday
  • Only 3 goals conceded in the league

Athletic Bilbao

  • 3rd place in Spain
  • 3 wins in a row
  • 8 goals in the last 3 games
Ergebnistipp
1:1
Two similarly strong teams, two good defenses and both traveling with a win in the bag. Will Roma get their 2nd win under Ivan Juric or will Bilbao win their 4th competitive game in a row?

Bilbao is favored by the AI forecast

Bilbao have had a strong start to the season and are currently third in the table behind Barcelona and Real Madrid. In the last few weeks, they have been able to improve once again and have won 3 games in a row. Roma are on the up after their first win of the season, but are still difficult to assess after the change of coach. The AI lets the facts and statistics speak for themselves here and they predict a Bilbao victory However, due to the good defense of the Romans, a close game and few goals are expected.

Last 5 games AS Rom home vs. Athletic Bilbao away
AS Rom Home Athletic Bilbao Away
Udinese Calcio 3:0 0:2 CD Leganés
FC Empoli 1:2 2:3 UD Las Palmas
AC Milan 5:2 2:1 FC Barcelona
CFC Genua 1:0 4:0 VfB Stuttgart
Juventus Turin 1:1 3:2 Aston Villa

Will Ivan Juric get AS Roma back on the road to success?

After only 4 match days, the club decided to change coach. Club legend Daniele de Rossi had to step down, despite losing only one of four games. However, with 3 draws, they were still waiting for their first win. His successor is Ivan Juric, who has already gained experience at several Serie A clubs. The debut under the Croatian was also very successful, with a 3-0 home win against former league leaders Udinese Calcio. With these 3 more points in their account, they climbed to 10th place in the table. The offense around new signing Artem Dovbyk was finally able to convince. The defense has been very solid all season anyway and has only conceded 3 goals in 5 games. They have already managed to keep a clean sheet 3 times.

Last 5 results AS Rom
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
22.09.2024 Serie A
AS Rom
Udinese Calcio
3:0 (1:0) S
15.09.2024 Serie A
CFC Genua
AS Rom
1:1 (0:1) U
01.09.2024 Serie A
Juventus Turin
AS Rom
0:0 (0:0) U
25.08.2024 Serie A
AS Rom
Empoli
1:2 (0:1) N
18.08.2024 Serie A
Cagliari Calcio
AS Rom
0:0 (0:0) U

Roma knows how to be successful in the Europa League

The hosts have been very successful in the UEFA Europa League in recent years. They even reached at least the semi-finals 3 times in a row. In the 2020/21 season, they were beaten by Manchester UnitedIn 2023, they even reached the final, but lost on penalties to Sevilla FC. Last season, they lost again in the semi-final against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Roma are therefore sure to be among the favorites for the title again this year.

AS Rome

System: 4-2-3-1.

Mile Svilar
Gianluca Mancini Evan Ndicka Angeliño Zeki Çelik
Niccolò Pisilli Bryan Cristante
Lorenzo Pellegrini Stephan El Shaarawy Paulo Dybala
Artem Dovbyk
Risk tip recommendation for a draw - odds: 3.50

Bilbao come to Italy with plenty of confidence

Athletic Bilbao are back in international business and want to go far in the Europa League this year. Although they have not been very successful in recent years, you can still expect a lot from them. The Spaniards have made an excellent start to the season and are currently number 3 in Spain behind FC Barcelona and Real Madrid. Although they have already conceded two defeats, these were against Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. They are still undefeated in games against similarly strong or weaker opponents. Most recently, they even managed 3 wins in a row. In the games against Las Palmas, Leganes and Celta Vigo, they scored a strong 8 goals and only conceded 3. Bilbao are also the reigning cup winners in Spain. Last season, they beat RCD Mallorca 5:3 in the final. However, they have suffered 3 of their last 4 defeats away from home.

Last 5 results Athletic Bilbao
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
22.09.2024 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
Celta Vigo
3:1 (2:1) S
19.09.2024 Primera Division
Leganes
Athletic Bilbao
0:2 (0:0) S
15.09.2024 Primera Division
UD Las Palmas
Athletic Bilbao
2:3 (0:2) S
31.08.2024 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
0:1 (0:0) N
28.08.2024 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
FC Valencia
1:0 (1:0) S

The guests currently have to rotate in goal

Bilbao are currently without one or two important players. Yeray Alvarez is not available in central defense. Goalkeeper Unai Simon, probably the most important player in the squad, is currently out. However, the Spanish international goalkeeper is likely to be out until December. Star striker Nico Williams was also rested at the weekend, but should be back for the game against Roma.

Athletic Bilbao

System: 4-3-3.

Julen Agirrezabala
Óscar de Marcos Daniel Vivian Aitor Paredes Adama Boiro
Beñat Prados Mikel Jauregizar Iñaki Williams
Oihan Sancet Álex Berenguer Gorka Guruzeta

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AS Rom : Athletic Bilbao

3

Wins

5

5

Draw

1

2

Defeats

4

17

Goals scored

14

9

Goals received

14

12

Shots on target

8

AS Rom
61%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
Athletic Bilbao
38%
Duels
won
83%
Accuracy of passes
50%
Ball possession
AS Rom
8
Corners
14
Shots on target
29
Goal kicks
next to the goal
6
Goal kicks
blocked
29
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
1
yellow cards
0
red cards
Athletic Bilbao
19
Corners
15
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
12
Goal kicks
blocked
28
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
12
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
8
offside
10
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AS Rom
17
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,70
per game
+8
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Athletic Bilbao
14
Goals scored
14
Goals received
ø 1,40
per game
0
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 55.26%
over 2.5 goals 44.74%
under 3.5 goals 75.00%
over 3.5 goals 25.00%
under 4.5 goals 86.53%
over 4.5 goals 13.47%
both teams to score - yes 49.20%
both teams to score - no 50.80%

A tip X as a risk variant - our forecast

Just under a week ago, we would have predicted an away win for Bilbao in this match. However, after Rome's good performance at the weekend, we would now rather recommend a Tip X as a single bet. Both teams have similar quality in their squads and are unlikely to go all in on matchday 1. Too many goals are also not to be expected due to the good defense of the Romans. Here we would recommend a bet on under 2.5 goals.

Odd comparison AS Rom - Athletic Bilbao

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