Monaco want to prove themselves at home against PSG. Prediction, 29.11.25

The Monegasques are in danger of losing touch

Published on 25.11.2025 07:03.

AS Monaco actually got off to a very good start this season. However, the team recently suffered 3 defeats in a row and slipped to 8th place in the table. They would naturally like to end this losing streak, but this could be a difficult task against Paris St. Germain. The visitors are once again top of the Ligue 1 table and have recently won 3 games in a row. However, they are not yet as confident as they were last season. PSG have also only won 4 out of 7 games away from home. Monaco are therefore certainly in with a chance.

AS Monaco - Paris Saint Germain: 29.11.2025 - 16:00

both teams to score - yes 1.51
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Double chance tip 1/draw 2.37
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Betting tips today All betting tips

8th place in the table
3 defeats in a row
15 goals in 7 home games

1st place in the table
3 wins in a row
Only 11 goals conceded in 13 games

Result tip

2:2

Current form is clearly in PSG's favor, but Monaco have only lost one of their last 5 home games against PSG.

Racket Ligue 1
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	AS Monaco	5	4	0	1	13:7	6	12
2	PSG	5	4	0	1	10:4	6	12
3	Lyon	5	4	0	1	7:3	4	12
4	Racing Straßburg	5	4	0	1	8:5	3	12
5	OSC Lille	5	3	1	1	13:8	5	10
6	Olympique Marseille	5	3	0	2	10:4	6	9
7	RC Lens	5	3	0	2	8:5	3	9
8	Stade Rennes	5	2	2	1	7:8	-1	8
9	FC Toulouse	5	2	0	3	7:9	-2	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
11	FC Paris	5	2	0	3	9:12	-3	6
12	OGC Nizza	5	2	0	3	6:9	-3	6
13	Angers SCO	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
14	Stade Brest	5	1	1	3	9:11	-2	4
15	Le Havre AC	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4
16	FC Nantes	5	1	1	3	3:5	-2	4
17	FC Lorient	5	1	1	3	6:13	-7	4
18	FC Metz	5	0	1	4	5:13	-8	1
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games AS Monaco home vs. PSG away
AS Monaco Home	PSG Away
RC Lens 1:4	2:3 Olympique Lyon
FC Paris 0:1	1:1 FC Lorient
FC Toulouse 1:0	0:3 Stade Brest 29
Tottenham Hotspur 0:0	2:7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
OGC Nizza 2:2	1:1 OSC Lille

Monaco has lost the plot

AS Monaco has already caused a sensation this year due to a change of coach, as Adi Hütter was dismissed in mid-October despite a good start to the season. His successor is Sebastian Pocognoli. The start under the Belgian was also very good with 8 points from the first 4 competitive games, but this was followed by 3 defeats from 4 games and they seem to have lost the thread somewhat. In Ligue 1, they lost all of their last 3 games and slipped back to 8th place in the table. They are already 10 points behind league leaders Paris. Monaco have major defensive problems, having conceded 25 goals in just 13 games. Only 2 teams in the entire league have conceded more goals. In the last two games alone, they have conceded 8 goals. The defeats were both 4-1 against Lens and Stade Rennes. They actually still have a good and above all positive record in their own stadium. They have won 4 of their 7 home games, scoring a strong 15 goals in the process.

Last 5 results AS Monaco
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
26.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	Paphos FC	AS Monaco	2:2 (1:2)	U
26.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
22.11.2025	Ligue 1	Stade Rennes	AS Monaco	4:1 (1:0)	N
22.11.2025 - Ligue 1
08.11.2025	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	RC Lens	1:4 (1:3)	N
08.11.2025 - Ligue 1
04.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	FK Bodø/Glimt	AS Monaco	0:1 (0:1)	S
04.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
01.11.2025	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	FC Paris	0:1 (0:0)	N
01.11.2025 - Ligue 1

Will Monaco manage another win against PSG?

The last duels between these two teams usually ended in victory for PSG. The visitors have won this clash three times in a row, scoring a total of 9 goals in the process. Monaco have gone 5 games without a win against the defending champions, picking up just a single point in that time. Their last win came in February 2023 when they won 3-2 at home. The good news for all fans: of their last 5 home games, Monaco have only lost one and won 3.

AS Monaco

System: 4-3-3.

Philipp Köhn

Thilo Kehrer Mohammed Salisu Kassoum Ouattara Jordan Teze

Maghnes Akliouche Aleksandr Golovin Mamadou Coulibaly

Caio Henrique Folarin Balogun Mika Biereth

Our safe betting tip: Both teams score YES

To Svenbet

Paris is struggling with injury problems this season

Paris is once again leading the French Ligue 1 table. The serial champions are once again the clear favorites for the league title this year. However, they have not yet been as confident as last season. This is also due to numerous injuries, particularly in attack. Ousmane Dembele has only scored 2 goals and has already missed several games. Desire Doue will be out until mid-December and Kvaratskhelia also needs to be slowly reintegrated after being out for a few weeks. Nonetheless, PSG have only conceded one defeat and have recently won three games in a row. However, they are still only 2 points ahead of first-placed Marseille, so they cannot afford to slip up. With 27 goals, they are not number 1 in offense this year. However, they have only conceded 11 goals in 13 games. They have even kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5 games. Their last away game, however, ended in a 2:3 defeat against Olympique Lyon.

Last 5 results Paris Saint Germain
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
26.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	PSG	Tottenham	5:3 (1:1)	S
26.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
22.11.2025	Ligue 1	PSG	Le Havre AC	3:0 (1:0)	S
22.11.2025 - Ligue 1
09.11.2025	Ligue 1	Lyon	PSG	2:3 (1:2)	S
09.11.2025 - Ligue 1
04.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	PSG	FC Bayern Munich	1:2 (0:2)	N
04.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
01.11.2025	Ligue 1	PSG	OGC Nizza	1:0 (0:0)	S
01.11.2025 - Ligue 1

Away from home often lacks the final consistency

While the team is still unbeaten at home and has won 5 out of 6 games, they have already conceded one defeat away from home and two other games ended in a draw. The only away defeat came in the top match against Olympique Marseille (1:0). It was also the only game this season in which they failed to score. The two draws were 1-1 against Lille and Lorient respectively, but their last competitive defeat to date came in the Champions League. There they were narrowly defeated 2-1 at home by Bayern.

Paris Saint Germain

System: 4-2-3-1.

Lucas Chevalier

Warren Zaïre-Emery Ilya Zabarnyi Lucas Beraldo Nuno Mendes

João Neves Vitinha

Senny Mayulu Kang-in Lee Gonçalo Ramos

Ibrahim Mbaye

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
07.02.2025	Ligue 1	PSG	AS Monaco	4:1 (1:1)
07.02.2025 - Ligue 1
18.12.2024	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	PSG	2:4 (0:1)
18.12.2024 - Ligue 1
01.03.2024	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	PSG	0:0 (0:0)
01.03.2024 - Ligue 1
24.11.2023	Ligue 1	PSG	AS Monaco	5:2 (2:1)
24.11.2023 - Ligue 1
11.02.2023	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	PSG	3:1 (3:1)
11.02.2023 - Ligue 1

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AS Monaco		:	PSG
3 Wins 6
4 Draw 3
3 Defeats 1
14 Goals scored 28
17 Goals received 14
12 Shots on target 8

AS Monaco

55%

Ball possession

84%

Accuracy of passes

53%

Duels
won

PSG

45%

Duels
won

91%

Accuracy of passes

70%

Ball possession

AS Monaco

18
Corners

20
Shots on target

20
Goal kicks
next to the goal

27
Goal kicks
blocked

57
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

9
Offside

8
yellow cards

1
red cards

PSG

16
Corners

20
Shots on target

17
Goal kicks
next to the goal

15
Goal kicks
blocked

27
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

25
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
Offside

2
yellow cards

1
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AS Monaco

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,40

per game

-3

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

PSG

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,80

per game

+14

Goal difference

10 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.75

1.44

under 2.5 goals 34.37%

over 2.5 goals 65.63%

1.91

16.67

under 3.5 goals 86.46%

over 3.5 goals 13.54%

1.36

3.20

under 4.5 goals 70.18%

over 4.5 goals 29.82%

1.53

2.38

both teams to score - yes 60.87%

both teams to score - no 39.13%

Monaco could surprise - Our forecast

There is not much to be said in favor of Monegasque, but they have only lost one of their last 5 home games against Paris. There could be a surprise, but we would call even a double chance 1/X bet a risk. We think both teams are most likely to score.