Expert tips & AI prediction for Argentina - Ecuador for sports betting
Will the defending champions reach the semi-finals of the Copa America with aplomb?
A defending champion cannot reach the knockout round more confidently than Argentina. The Albiceleste are through to the quarter-finals of the Copa America and will now play their next match against Ecuador. The match will kick off on Friday night (July 5, 2024) at NRG Stadium in Houston (Texas).
Argentina
- Argentina have lost only one of their last 23 games (0:2 against Uruguay).
- The Albiceleste have won 14 of their last 16 matches without conceding a goal.
- The Argentinians also won all three of their group games at the Copa America.
Ecuador
- Ecuador fought out a 0-0 draw against Mexico to defend second place in Group B.
- La Tri scored just eight goals in their six matches in the World Cup qualifiers.
- Ecuador have never beaten Argentina in 16 Copa America matches.
This is the AI prediction for this match
The artificial intelligences are unanimous on this match: The tip 1 on the next victory of the defending champions Argentina is recommended across the board. In addition, the Under 2.5 is ahead in goal betting. ChatGPT and co. are presumably referring to the last competitive matches in the World Cup qualifiers. Because only a maximum of two goals were scored three times in a row.
| Argentina Home | Ecuador Away |
|---|---|
| Peru 2:0 | 0:0 Mexico |
| Canada 2:0 | 1:0 Argentina |
| Guatemala 4:1 | 0:2 Italy |
| Ecuador 1:0 | 1:2 Australia |
| Nigeria 3:1 | 3:1 Australia |
What speaks for Argentina vs Ecuador in the betting tip?
Up to now, the tournament has been a sure-fire success for the defending champions. Even when Lionel Messi had to miss out through injury. Argentina started against Copa America debutants Canada in Group A with an unchallenged 2:0 victory. On the second matchday, the Gauchos brought Chile to their knees 1:0. And the 2:0 win against Peru rounded off their successful performance to date at the Copa America 2024 perfectly. It was also the Albiceleste's eighth win in a row. It's hard to imagine a better form curve for a national team in today's betting tips.
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| Copa America |
Argentina
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Peru
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2:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.06.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Chile
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Argentina
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0:1 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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26.06.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Argentina
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Canada
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2:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.06.2024 - Copa America
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| International |
Argentina
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Guatemala
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4:1 (2:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.06.2024 - International
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| International |
Argentina
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Ecuador
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1:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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10.06.2024 - International
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Only one defeat in the last 23 international matches
The Argentinian national team also proved just how strong it is in the current World Cup qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup, even though it suffered its only minor setback there. Because the game against Uruguay was lost 0:2 at home. However, Argentina won all five of their other matches. In 23 international matches, the defeat against the Urus was the only one for the reigning world champions. Of the 16 most recent victories, the Argentinian national team have won 14 of them without conceding a goal. What a record!
Argentina
System: 4-2-3-1.
How good is Ecuador's current form?
Ecuador finished second in Group B with a balanced record and thus qualified for the Copa America quarter-finals, somewhat surprisingly ahead of Mexico. A 0-0 draw against the Mexicans in the decisive match on the third matchday was enough for La Tri. Ecuador had started the tournament with a 1:2 defeat against the eventual group winners Venezuela. However, the team made up for this in the second game against Jamaica with a clear 3:1. However, the fact that four of the last five games ended with an Over 2.5 and a Both Teams To Score should not be overrated in these football predictions.
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| Copa America |
Mexico
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Ecuador
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.07.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Ecuador
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Jamaica
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3:1 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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27.06.2024 - Copa America
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| Copa America |
Ecuador
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Venezuela
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1:2 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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23.06.2024 - Copa America
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| International |
Ecuador
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Honduras
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2:1 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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16.06.2024 - International
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| International |
Ecuador
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Bolivia
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3:1 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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13.06.2024 - International
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Strong performances with few goals in the World Cup qualifiers
As part of our betting tip analysis, we discovered another statistic that makes you sit up and take notice. In the World Cup qualifiers in South America, Ecuador scored just eight goals in their six matches, an average of just over one goal per game. With three wins, two draws and just one loss, the national team are in a very respectable fifth place so far, especially as they were deducted three points due to poor form. Argentina should therefore not underestimate this opponent - and neither should you with your next betting slip.
Between qualifying and the Copa, Ecuador also played a few test matches, of which at least the last two were won 3-1 against Bolivia and 2-1 against Honduras. La Tri had previously failed to score in a test against Argentina (0-1) and Italy (0-2).
Ecuador
System: 4-3-3.
White vest for the Albiceleste at the Copa America
What's missing at the end of the betting analysis is our obligatory look at the head-to-head matches. If we restrict this to games at the Copa America, the following is immediately apparent: After 16 games at this tournament, Ecuador is still waiting for a win against Argentina. The Albiceleste won eleven times, while five matches ended in draws. The two nations have also faced each other 40 times in international matches. However, La Tri have only won five of them, while the Argentinians have won 24 times (eleven draws).
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Argentina
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Ecuador
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1:0 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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10.06.2024 - International
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Ecuador
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Argentina
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1:1 (0:1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.03.2022 - World Cup 2022
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Argentina
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Ecuador
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3:0 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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04.07.2021 - Copa America
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Argentina
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Ecuador
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1:0 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.10.2020 - World Cup 2022
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Ecuador
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Argentina
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1:3 (1:2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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11.10.2017 - World Cup 2022
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Argentina | : | Ecuador | ||
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10 Wins 6 |
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0 Draw 1 |
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0 Defeats 3 |
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27 Goals scored 15 |
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2 Goals received 9 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our tips & AI predictions for Argentina v Ecuador
We can't follow the AI prediction for Argentina to win. But not because we think Ecuador has a chance, but because the odds are simply too low. The situation is different for the AI tip on Under 2.5. Especially as this has been the case in all three of the defending champions' games so far in this tournament. However, our betting recommendation for much better odds is a different one: The Argentinians have yet to concede a goal in the current competition. They have also won 14 of their last 16 matches without conceding a goal. So the Tip 1 Win To Nil is practically on a silver platter.
