Milan want to catch up with league leaders Napoli. Forecast, 29.10.2024

Will Milan remain unbeaten at home against the strong SSC Napoli?

Published on 25.10.2024 09:03.

AC Milan are still struggling this season, but have nevertheless improved somewhat in recent weeks. In addition to a win in the Champions League, they also won their last home game in Serie A against Udinese. They have an away game against Bologna coming up this weekend and then face SSC Napoli at home. Their aim is of course to win in order to regain their position at the top of the table. Napoli have had a very strong season so far under coach Antonio Conte and want to have a say in the championship title again this year. In contrast to the last few years, they are extremely stable, especially in defense.

Double chance tip X/2 1.55
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under 3.5 goals 1.40
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Weitere Expertentipps findest du hier:

Wett Tipps heute

4th place in the table
Not yet lost a home game
3 home wins in a row

1st place in the table
6 wins in 8 league games
3 wins in a row

Ergebnistipp

1:2

Milan are still unbeaten at home, but are not as strong as SSC Napoli this season. The visitors have not lost in their last 8 competitive matches.

Racket Serie A
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	Inter Mailand	15	12	2	1	37:7	30	38
2	Juventus Turin	15	11	3	1	23:9	14	36
3	AC Milan	15	9	2	4	26:18	8	29
4	AS Rom	15	7	4	4	28:17	11	25
5	FC Bologna	15	6	7	2	18:12	6	25
6	SSC Neapel	15	7	3	5	26:18	8	24
7	ACF Fiorentina	15	7	3	5	24:18	6	24
8	Atalanta Bergamo	15	7	2	6	24:18	6	23
9	Monza	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
10	Lazio Rom	15	6	3	6	16:16	0	21
11	FC Turin	15	5	5	5	13:16	-3	20
12	Frosinone Calcio	15	5	4	6	20:24	-4	19
13	Lecce	15	3	8	4	17:20	-3	17
14	CFC Genua	15	4	3	8	15:20	-5	15
15	Sassuolo Calcio	15	4	3	8	22:28	-6	15
16	Cagliari Calcio	15	3	4	8	15:27	-12	13
17	Udinese Calcio	15	1	9	5	12:25	-13	12
18	Empoli	15	3	3	9	10:27	-17	12
19	Hellas Verona	15	2	5	8	13:22	-9	11
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	11:30	-19	8
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games AC Milan home vs. SSC Neapel away
AC Milan Home	SSC Neapel Away
Club Brugge 3:1	0:1 FC Empoli
Udinese Calcio 1:0	0:0 Juventus Turin
US Lecce 3:0	0:4 Cagliari Calcio
FC Liverpool 1:3	3:0 Hellas Verona
FC Venedig 4:0	2:2 ACF Fiorentina

The pressure is on AC Milan

Milan hired a new coach in the summer, Paulo Fonesca, with the aim of winning titles this year. However, the Portuguese's start has not been as hoped. They are still not exactly stable, although they have improved somewhat in recent weeks. The team is now in 4th place in Serie A after 4 wins from the last 5 games, but is already 5 points behind league leaders Napoli. The hosts are therefore under pressure and must win, otherwise the gap would widen further. They won their last home game so far 1:0 against Udinese Calcio. It was their 3rd home win in 4 games. In general, they are one of the best home teams in the league with 10 points from 4 games. They also have the best offense with 10 goals already. In addition, they have only conceded 2 goals in these 4 home games. The last 3 home games have all ended without conceding a goal. A win against Napoli would see them stay in touch with the top teams and close the gap. A guarantee for success should be Christian Pulisic. The American has already scored 5 goals in the league this year, making him the number 1 in the team. He has also scored twice in the Champions League.

Last 5 results AC Milan
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
22.10.2024	UEFA Champions League	AC Milan	Club Brugge	3:1 (1:0)	S
22.10.2024 - UEFA Champions League
19.10.2024	Serie A	AC Milan	Udinese Calcio	1:0 (1:0)	S
19.10.2024 - Serie A
06.10.2024	Serie A	ACF Fiorentina	AC Milan	2:1 (1:0)	N
06.10.2024 - Serie A
01.10.2024	UEFA Champions League	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	AC Milan	1:0 (0:0)	N
01.10.2024 - UEFA Champions League
27.09.2024	Serie A	AC Milan	Lecce	3:0 (3:0)	S
27.09.2024 - Serie A

First victory finally celebrated in the premier class

Milan are once again in the Champions League and are determined to reach the knockout phase. Due to the new system, they faced real top teams on the first two match days. The two games against Liverpool FC and Bayer 04 Leverkusen were both lost. At home, they hardly stood a chance against the English side and lost 3:1. They performed better away at Leverkusen, but ultimately also conceded a 1:0 defeat. In the home game against FC Brugge, they were now condemned to win and they succeeded. In the end, they celebrated an unchallenged 3:1 victory against the Belgians and booked their place in the Champions League for the first time.

AC Milan

System: 4-2-3-1.

Mike Maignan

Emerson Royal Matteo Gabbia Fikayo Tomori Theo Hernández

Youssouf Fofana Ruben Loftus-Cheek

Christian Pulišić Tijjani Reijnders Rafael Leão

Álvaro Morata

A draw in this top match would stand at odds of 3.60

To Lapilanders

Is Napoli a serious championship contender again?

Due to a poor last season, SSC Napoli are not playing internationally this year, but can concentrate fully on Serie A instead. Things are going more than well there so far, with Napoli leading the table by 2 points ahead of reigning champions Inter Milan after matchday 8. Although coach Antonio Conte lost his first league game against Hellas Verona, they have not lost since and have been unbeaten in 8 competitive games. In the league, they have won 6 of their last 7 games and at least drew 0-0 away at Juventus Turin. In general, the defense is the clear strength this year, as they have only conceded 8 goals in 10 competitive games. In Serie A, they have conceded 5 goals after 8 games. If you exclude the 3:0 defeat against Hellas, Napoli have only conceded 2 goals in their last 7 league games. Both were conceded in home games, meaning they have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away games. In the Coppa Italia, they celebrated victories against FC Modena and Palermo in the first two rounds. Here they can boast a total score of 9:3 goals, which shows how strong they are in offense.

Last 5 results SSC Neapel
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
26.10.2024	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Lecce	1:0 (0:0)	S
26.10.2024 - Serie A
20.10.2024	Serie A	Empoli	SSC Neapel	0:1 (0:0)	S
20.10.2024 - Serie A
04.10.2024	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Como 1907	3:1 (1:1)	S
04.10.2024 - Serie A
29.09.2024	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Monza	2:0 (2:0)	S
29.09.2024 - Serie A
26.09.2024	Coppa Italia	SSC Neapel	FC Palermo	5:0 (3:0)	S
26.09.2024 - Coppa Italia

The team is currently spared from injuries

Napoli have of course also been somewhat fortunate so far, as they have hardly had to do without any key players. At the moment, Stanislav Lobotka is the only injured player in the squad and he should also be available again for the game against Milan. The new arrivals around Romelu Lukaku, Scott McTominay and Alessandro Buongiorno are all already key players and regulars. Lukaku and Kvaratskhelia have already scored 7 goals between them and provided a further 6 assists. Defender Alessandro Buongiorno is already the leader of the defense and one of the main reasons why Napoli have only conceded 5 goals in the league.

SSC Neapel

System: 4-2-3-1.

Elia Caprile

Giovanni Di Lorenzo Amir Rrahmani Alessandro Buongiorno Mathías Olivera

Frank Anguissa Stanislav Lobotka

Scott McTominay Matteo Politano Romelu Lukaku

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
11.02.2024	Serie A	AC Milan	SSC Neapel	1:0 (1:0)
11.02.2024 - Serie A
29.10.2023	Serie A	SSC Neapel	AC Milan	2:2 (0:2)
29.10.2023 - Serie A
18.04.2023	UEFA Champions League	SSC Neapel	AC Milan	1:1 (0:1)
18.04.2023 - UEFA Champions League
12.04.2023	UEFA Champions League	AC Milan	SSC Neapel	1:0 (1:0)
12.04.2023 - UEFA Champions League
02.04.2023	Serie A	SSC Neapel	AC Milan	0:4 (0:2)
02.04.2023 - Serie A

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AC Milan		:	SSC Neapel
5 Wins 8
1 Draw 1
4 Defeats 1
18 Goals scored 21
12 Goals received 5
12 Shots on target 8

AC Milan

54%

Ball possession

88%

Accuracy of passes

54%

Duels
won

SSC Neapel

48%

Duels
won

86%

Accuracy of passes

48%

Ball possession

AC Milan

9
Corners

14
Shots on target

2
Goal kicks
next to the goal

7
Goal kicks
blocked

18
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

5
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

6
offside

3
yellow cards

1
red cards

SSC Neapel

19
Corners

14
Shots on target

12
Goal kicks
next to the goal

14
Goal kicks
blocked

25
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

15
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

8
offside

2
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AC Milan

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,80

per game

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

SSC Neapel

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,10

per game

+16

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

1.91

1.92

under 2.5 goals 50.53%

over 2.5 goals 49.47%

1.49

3.40

under 3.5 goals 68.82%

over 3.5 goals 31.18%

1.12

6.00

under 4.5 goals 84.27%

over 4.5 goals 15.73%

1.70

2.10

both teams to score - yes 54.97%

both teams to score - no 45.03%

Napoli look more stable this season - Our prediction

Napoli are not leading the Serie A table for nothing, as they are unbeaten since their defeat on matchday 1. Milan are nowhere near as stable, but are still unbeaten at home. We would therefore make a double chance tip X/2. Another suitable tip recommendation should also be a safety bet on under 3.5 goals. Both teams are too stable defensively, Milan especially at home.

Milan want to catch up with league leaders Napoli. Forecast, 29.10.2024

Will Milan remain unbeaten at home against the strong SSC Napoli?

AC Milan

SSC Neapel

The pressure is on AC Milan

First victory finally celebrated in the premier class

AC Milan

Is Napoli a serious championship contender again?

The team is currently spared from injuries

SSC Neapel

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Napoli look more stable this season - Our prediction

Odd comparison AC Milan - SSC Neapel