AC Milan Logo
AC Milan
:
Inter Mailand Inter Mailand Logo
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
D
02.02.2025 - 18:00
Italien Serie A
1 4.00
X 3.60
2 1.95

AC Milan and Inter Milan meet in a derby. Prediction, 02.02.25

Both teams urgently need points

Published on 30.01.2025 22:00.

AC Milan are impressing under their new coach and have won 2 of their last 3 games in the league. After their triumph in the Italian Super Cup, they will now be looking to hold their own against a top team in the league. The hosts also urgently need points in the battle for the Champions League places. With one game less to play, they need to catch up with Lazio Roma by 5 points. However, defeat is also forbidden at city rivals Inter Milan. The reigning champions are currently 3 points behind league leaders Napoli and also have one game less to play. A win would therefore give them the chance to take the lead in the table. The form is definitely in the visitors' favor, as they have not lost in 16 games. However, their last defeat in the league came in a derby of all places.

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Betting tips today

AC Milan

  • 7th place in the table
  • Only lost one of the last 7 games
  • One home defeat in 11 games

Inter Mailand

  • 2nd place in the table
  • Haven't lost in 16 league games
  • Still unbeaten away from home
  • Best offense in Serie A
Result tip
1:2
Inter Milan will emerge victorious this time and secure top spot in the Serie A table. Their unbeaten run away from home will also continue.
Racket Serie A
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Atalanta Bergamo 18 13 2 3 43:20 23 41
2 SSC Neapel 18 13 2 3 27:12 15 41
3 Inter Mailand 17 12 4 1 45:15 30 40
4 Lazio Rom 18 11 2 5 33:25 8 35
5 ACF Fiorentina 17 9 5 3 31:15 16 32
6 Juventus Turin 18 7 11 0 30:15 15 32
7 FC Bologna 17 7 7 3 25:21 4 28
8 AC Milan 17 7 6 4 26:17 9 27
9 Udinese Calcio 18 7 3 8 23:28 -5 24
10 AS Rom 18 5 5 8 24:24 0 20
11 FC Turin 18 5 5 8 19:24 -5 20
12 Empoli 18 4 7 7 17:21 -4 19
13 CFC Genua 18 4 7 7 16:27 -11 19
14 FC Parma 18 4 6 8 25:34 -9 18
15 Como 1907 18 4 6 8 20:30 -10 18
16 Hellas Verona 18 6 0 12 24:42 -18 18
17 Lecce 18 4 4 10 11:31 -20 16
18 Cagliari Calcio 18 3 5 10 16:31 -15 14
19 FC Venedig 18 3 4 11 17:31 -14 13
20 Monza 18 1 7 10 16:25 -9 10

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Last 5 games AC Milan home vs. Inter Mailand away
AC Milan Home Inter Mailand Away
FC Parma 3:2 0:4 US Lecce
FC Girona 1:0 0:1 AC Sparta Prague
Cagliari Calcio 1:1 0:1 FC Venedig
CFC Genua 0:0 0:3 Cagliari Calcio
Red Star Belgrade 2:1 0:6 Lazio Rom

Milan's form curve is pointing upwards

There was a change of coach at AC Milan at the start of the new year. Sergio Conceicao took over the club and since then has had a strong record of 5 wins, one draw and just one defeat. During this time, he has even won a Super Cup title, which included beating Inter Milan 2:3. The only defeat came in the Serie A away game against Juventus Turin. Most recently, they won 3:2 against FC Parma in a spectacular match. However, they are still only in 7th place in the table and are 5 points behind a top 4 place. With one game less to play, this gap is still limited, but they should not allow themselves any more defeats. Milan want to start a series and also win their 3rd clash against their city rivals this season. It would be their 10th win of the season in the league.

Last 5 results AC Milan
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb
AC Milan
2:1 (1:0) N
26.01.2025 Serie A
AC Milan
FC Parma
3:2 (1:1) S
22.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
AC Milan
Girona
1:0 (1:0) S
18.01.2025 Serie A
Juventus Turin
AC Milan
2:0 (0:0) N
14.01.2025 Serie A
Como 1907
AC Milan
1:2 (0:0) S

Milan are difficult to beat at the San Siro

Although the hosts are only in 6th place in the home table, they have only suffered one defeat in 11 home games. The remaining 10 games, however, ended in 5 wins and 5 draws. A look at the goal difference of 18:8 goals shows above all the stable defense. The only home defeat came against league leaders Napoli in October 2024. Since then, they have gone 6 home games in a row without defeat. They have even gone 3 consecutive games without conceding a goal. With the addition of Kyle Walker in the winter, they were able to strengthen their defense once again.

AC Milan

System: 4-2-3-1.

Mike Maignan
Davide Calabria Matteo Gabbia Strahinja Pavlović Theo Hernández
Yunus Musah Youssouf Fofana
Tijjani Reijnders Christian Pulišić Álvaro Morata
Rafael Leão
A win for Inter gives you odds of over 1.90

Inter continue to fight for the Scudetto

The reigning champions are once again one of the big favorites for the Serie A title this year. Although they are not at the top of the table after 21 games, they are only 3 points off leaders Napoli with one game less to play. With a win against Milan in the derby, they could draw level again and take the lead in the table thanks to their better goal difference. Inter are having another outstanding season overall and have conceded just one defeat in 21 games. They have won 15 of 21 games. They also have by far the best offense of all teams. 55 goals have already been scored, which is significantly more than 2.00 goals per game. The defense concedes less than 1.00 goals per game. However, the outstanding players this season are once again the two strikers Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram. They have scored 22 goals in the league alone. The Frenchman Thuram is even the 2nd top scorer in the entire league. Explosive: They suffered their only defeat on matchday 5 in their first clash against Milan (1:2).

Last 5 results Inter Mailand
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
Inter Mailand
AS Monaco
3:0 (2:0) S
26.01.2025 Serie A
Lecce
Inter Mailand
0:4 (0:2) S
22.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
AC Sparta Prague
Inter Mailand
0:1 (0:1) S
19.01.2025 Serie A
Inter Mailand
Empoli
3:1 (0:0) S
15.01.2025 Serie A
Inter Mailand
FC Bologna
2:2 (2:1) U

The visitors have yet to lose an away game

Inter Milan have an impressive away record. They are the only team in the league not to have lost an away game. With 8 wins from 10 games, they even occupy 1st place in the away table, ahead of SCC Napoli. With 29 goals, they are once again number 1 offensively, with both draws coming in the first two away games. This was followed by 8 away wins in a row. They have not even conceded a goal in their last 7 away games!

Inter Milan

System: 3-5-2.

Yann Sommer
Benjamin Pavard Stefan de Vrij Alessandro Bastoni
Denzel Dumfries Nicolò Barella Kristjan Asllani Henrikh Mkhitaryan Federico Dimarco
Lautaro Martínez Marcus Thuram
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
06.01.2025 Italien Supercup
Inter Mailand
AC Milan
2:3 (1:0)
22.09.2024 Serie A
Inter Mailand
AC Milan
1:2 (1:1)
22.04.2024 Serie A
AC Milan
Inter Mailand
1:2 (0:1)
16.09.2023 Serie A
Inter Mailand
AC Milan
5:1 (2:0)
16.05.2023 UEFA Champions League
Inter Mailand
AC Milan
1:0 (0:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AC Milan : Inter Mailand

6

Wins

8

2

Draw

1

2

Defeats

1

14

Goals scored

23

11

Goals received

6

12

Shots on target

8

AC Milan
52%
Ball possession
88%
Accuracy of passes
48%
Duels
won
Inter Mailand
56%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
60%
Ball possession
AC Milan
27
Corners
18
Shots on target
21
Goal kicks
next to the goal
17
Goal kicks
blocked
31
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
25
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
Offside
11
yellow cards
1
red cards
Inter Mailand
20
Corners
19
Shots on target
27
Goal kicks
next to the goal
19
Goal kicks
blocked
43
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
22
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
10
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AC Milan
14
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 1,40
per game
+3
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Inter Mailand
23
Goals scored
6
Goals received
ø 2,30
per game
+17
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 47.77%
over 2.5 goals 52.23%
under 3.5 goals 67.72%
over 3.5 goals 32.28%
under 4.5 goals 82.39%
over 4.5 goals 17.61%
both teams to score - yes 54.76%
both teams to score - no 45.24%

Inter are again slight favorites - Our prediction

AC Milan may have won the first two matches of the season, but Inter are still slight favorites. The visitors have the chance to go top of the table and have not yet lost a single away game. With a victory you get odds of 1.95. As in the last derbies, we expect scores on both sides. This betting tip is suitable for your combination bet.

Odd comparison AC Milan - Inter Mailand

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