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AC Milan
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Feyenoord Rotterdam Feyenoord Rotterdam Logo
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18.02.2025 - 18:45
UEFA Champions League
1 19.50
X 5.50
2 21.00

Milan face Feyenoord Rotterdam in the second leg. Prediction, 18.02.25

The guests are in the better starting position

Published on 13.02.2025 16:02.

There have been some surprising results in the Champions League play-offs. One of these is certainly Feyenoord Rotterdam's 1:0 victory in the first leg against AC Milan. The Italians are the favorites to advance to the round of 16 in this duel, but they will have to win the second leg by at least 2 goals. Feyenoord finished in 19th place in the group stage and achieved strong results. Among other things, they won against Bayern Munich and drew against Manchester City. Milan, on the other hand, have now conceded 2 defeats in a row and need a significant improvement in performance at home in front of their own fans.

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Betting tips today

AC Milan

  • 5 wins in 8 group matches
  • Last 2 defeats in a row
  • Only 2 goals in the last 3 games

Feyenoord Rotterdam

  • First leg won 1:0
  • Conceded 21 goals in 8 games in the group stage
  • Only lost one of 4 games away from home
Result tip
2:0
Milan are much stronger at home and should be able to make up the 0:1 deficit. The Italians have yet to lose a home game in 2025.
Last 5 games AC Milan home vs. Feyenoord away
AC Milan Home Feyenoord Away
Hellas Verona 1:0 0:0 NAC Breda
AS Rom 3:1 2:1 Ajax Amsterdam
Inter Mailand 1:1 6:1 OSC Lille
FC Parma 3:2 1:1 Willem II Tilburg
FC Girona 1:0 0:1 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Milan still have every chance at home

AC Milan's season has not gone as hoped so far, as they are already a few points behind the top 4 in Serie A and are in danger of dropping out of the play-offs in the Champions League. Milan could have avoided this had they not lost to Dinamo Zagreb on the final matchday and would have finished in the top 8 of the table. As it was, however, they only managed 13th place and were drawn with Feyenoord Rotterdam in the play-offs. They lost their first leg 1:0, their second defeat in a row. However, the hosts have won 5 of their 8 group games, including beating Real Madrid. Like most Italian teams, they were very stable defensively, conceding just 11 goals. However, the offense only scored 14 goals, which is significantly less than 2.00 goals per game. In the winter, they signed some quality players in Joao Felix and Santiago Gimenez. However, they also failed to score in Rotterdam. Now they want to do it at home in front of their own fans, where they have recently won 3 games in a row against Bruges, Red Star Belgrade and FC Girona.

Last 5 results AC Milan
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.02.2025 Serie A
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1:0 (0:0) S
12.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Feyenoord
AC Milan
1:0 (1:0) N
08.02.2025 Serie A
Empoli
AC Milan
0:2 (0:0) S
05.02.2025 Coppa Italia
AC Milan
AS Rom
3:1 (2:0) S
02.02.2025 Serie A
AC Milan
Inter Mailand
1:1 (1:0) U

The new coach still has a good record

Sergio Conceicao only took over the team at the beginning of the year and has since won 7 out of 12 games. They have been beaten a total of 3 times, with all 3 games being played away from home. They are still unbeaten at home in 2025 and want to stay that way. The last time they played at home they won 3:1 against AS Roma in the Coppa Italia. Before that, they drew 1-1 in the derby against Inter Milan. However, the team is still struggling to score goals under the new coach. 19 goals in 12 games is not an outstanding figure for a top team.

AC Milan

System: 4-2-3-1.

Mike Maignan
Kyle Walker Fikayo Tomori Strahinja Pavlović Theo Hernández
Yunus Musah Youssouf Fofana
Tijjani Reijnders Álex Jiménez Tammy Abraham
Christian Pulišić
The odds that less than 2.5 goals will be scored again are 2.30

Feyenoord naturally want to spring a surprise

Feyenoord already performed well in the group stage and will probably be satisfied with 19th place. They won 4 out of 8 games and lost 3. Somewhat unusually, the defeats were against teams that were not necessarily better, with the exception of Bayer Leverkusen. However, the other two defeats were against Red Bull Salzburg and Lille. At the same time, they managed a 3-0 home win against FC Bayern Munich and a 3-3 draw against Manchester City. In the group stage, Feyenoord's matches usually promised spectacle. Every game ended with more than 2.5 goals and the overall goal difference was 18:21. Defensively, this is of course disastrous and recently cost Brian Priske his job. His successor Pascal Bosschaart is supposed to bring more stability to the team and he did just that in his first game. In the 1:0 win against Milan, they were very solid in defense and hardly allowed any big chances.

Last 5 results Feyenoord Rotterdam
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.02.2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
0:0 (0:0) U
12.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Feyenoord
AC Milan
1:0 (1:0) S
08.02.2025 Eredivisie
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
3:0 (1:0) S
02.02.2025 Eredivisie
Ajax Amsterdam
Feyenoord
2:1 (1:0) N
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
OSC Lille
Feyenoord
6:1 (2:1) N

They have lost touch in the league

The main reason for the dismissal of coach Brian Priske was certainly the poor results in the league. The team only won one of their last league games and lost the two top games against PSV Eindhoven (0:3) and Ajax Amsterdam (1:2). They have now slipped to fifth place in the table and are already 12 points behind league leaders Ajax. The team is particularly struggling away from home and has won just 5 of its 11 games. They have failed to win their last 3 away games in the league, picking up just a single point in the process. {{18/02/2025 06:30|The last away win came on December 7, 2024 when they beat Waalwijk 2-3. In addition, Feyenoord have only managed to keep a clean sheet in one away game this season.}}

Feyenoord Rotterdam

System: 4-3-3.

Timon Wellenreuther
Givairo Read Thomas Beelen Dávid Hancko Gijs Smal
Jakub Moder Antoni Milambo Quinten Timber
Anis Hadj Moussa Ayase Ueda Igor Paixão
Last game in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
12.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Feyenoord
AC Milan
1:0 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AC Milan : Feyenoord

6

Wins

4

1

Draw

2

3

Defeats

4

14

Goals scored

12

10

Goals received

14

12

Shots on target

8

AC Milan
53%
Ball possession
88%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Duels
won
Feyenoord
47%
Duels
won
84%
Accuracy of passes
49%
Ball possession
AC Milan
21
Corners
18
Shots on target
14
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
25
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
8
yellow cards
1
red cards
Feyenoord
16
Corners
9
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
10
Goal kicks
blocked
22
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AC Milan
14
Goals scored
10
Goals received
ø 1,40
per game
+4
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Feyenoord
12
Goals scored
14
Goals received
ø 1,20
per game
-2
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 43.05%
over 2.5 goals 56.95%
under 3.5 goals 55.93%
over 3.5 goals 44.07%
under 4.5 goals 75.25%
over 4.5 goals 24.75%
both teams to score - yes 52.45%
both teams to score - no 47.55%

Milan have a good chance of reaching the round of 16 - Our prediction

Although Milan narrowly lost the first leg 1-0, they have every chance of turning that result around at home. Milan are still unbeaten at home in 2025, while Feyenoord are also struggling away from home. We would therefore bet on the favorite this time and give a tip 1. However, a spectacle is probably not to be expected again, as Milan's offense must first find its feet. The tip "under 2.5 goals" should therefore be suitable for a single betting slip.

Odd comparison AC Milan - Feyenoord Rotterdam

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