Milan vs. Roma - Top match in Serie A. Prediction, 02.11.25

Both teams have a chance of leading the table

Published on 30.10.2025 16:06.

AC Milan are having a good season so far and are in 4th place in Serie A. However, the last few weeks have not always been ideal, as they have only managed to draw 3 of their last 4 league games. However, they are only 3 points behind the leaders and their upcoming opponents AS Roma. Roma currently occupy second place, but are level on points with league leaders Napoli. With 4 wins from their last 5 games, Roma are currently in top form and also have the best defense in Italy. With 4 wins from 4 away games, they are also the best team on foreign turf.

under 2.5 goals 1.68
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Draw 3.25
High risk

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You can find more expert tips here:

Betting tips today All betting tips

4th place in the table
3 draws from the last 4 games
Not lost since matchday 1

2nd place in the table
4 wins from the last 5 games
All 4 away games won

Result tip

1:1

Roma have won 4 of their last 5 games, Milan are unbeaten since matchday 1.

Racket Serie A
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	SSC Neapel	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	Juventus Turin	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
3	AC Milan	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
4	AS Rom	4	3	0	1	3:1	2	9
5	Atalanta Bergamo	4	2	2	0	9:3	6	8
6	US Cremonese	4	2	2	0	5:3	2	8
7	Cagliari Calcio	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
8	Como 1907	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
9	Udinese Calcio	4	2	1	1	4:5	-1	7
10	Inter Mailand	4	2	0	2	11:7	4	6
11	FC Bologna	4	2	0	2	3:3	0	6
12	FC Turin	4	1	1	2	1:8	-7	4
13	Lazio Rom	4	1	0	3	4:4	0	3
14	Sassuolo Calcio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
15	Hellas Verona	4	0	3	1	2:6	-4	3
16	CFC Genua	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2
17	ACF Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	FC Parma	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
19	AC Pisa	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
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Last 5 games AC Milan home vs. AS Rom away
AC Milan Home	AS Rom Away
AC Pisa 2:2	0:1 US Sassuolo Calcio
ACF Fiorentina 2:1	1:2 ACF Fiorentina
SSC Neapel 2:1	1:2 OGC Nizza
US Lecce 3:0	0:1 Lazio Rom
FC Bologna 1:0	0:1 1. FC Kaiserslautern

AC Milan has lost some of its flow

After a very strong start to the season and a temporary lead at the top of the table, AC Milan have lost some ground in recent weeks. Although they have remained unbeaten since matchday 1, 3 of their last 4 games have ended in a draw. They have now slipped down to 4th place in the table. However, they are still only 3 points off the top of the table. A win would close the gap. However, Milan have the next top match ahead of them and face AS Roma. The last few weeks have been characterized by top games. First they faced Juventus Turin away and drew 0-0. This was followed by a 2:1 win at home against Florence and a 1:1 draw at Atalanta Bergamo on the final matchday. Their only defeat in a competitive match this season was against Cremonese at home. Milan have had major injury worries in recent weeks, which is why the defense is no longer as secure and the offense is scoring less.

Last 5 results AC Milan
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
28.10.2025	Serie A	Atalanta Bergamo	AC Milan	1:1 (1:1)	U
28.10.2025 - Serie A
24.10.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	AC Pisa	2:2 (1:0)	U
24.10.2025 - Serie A
19.10.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	ACF Fiorentina	2:1 (0:0)	S
19.10.2025 - Serie A
05.10.2025	Serie A	Juventus Turin	AC Milan	0:0 (0:0)	U
05.10.2025 - Serie A
28.09.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	SSC Neapel	2:1 (2:0)	S
28.09.2025 - Serie A

The squad has plenty of potential

Christian Pulisic, the best attacking player to date, is still out through injury. The US-American has already scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists this season. In his absence, however, Rafael Leao has returned to good form and scored 3 goals. With Christopher Nkunku and Santiago Gimenez, there are other notable options. Adrien Rabiot and Ardon Jashari are two important players missing from midfield. However, the latter could return to the squad for the match against Roma.

AC Milan

System: 4-2-3-1.

Mike Maignan

Koni De Winter Matteo Gabbia Strahinja Pavlović Alexis Saelemaekers

Youssouf Fofana Samuele Ricci

Luka Modrić Davide Bartesaghi Santiago Giménez

Rafael Leão

Odds for a draw: 3.25

To Campeonbet

Roma is one of the big surprises

After a terrific second half of the season in the spring, AS Roma qualified for international play. They were able to carry this upward trend into the new season without any problems, even though they have a new coach on the sidelines and have also reshuffled the squad. However, the visitors have won 7 of their first 9 league games and are level on points with league leaders Napoli in second place in the table. With a win or even a draw, they could take over the lead in the table. The form is certainly in the visitors' favor, as they have won 3 of their last 5 games. Their only defeat in this period came at home to Inter Milan (0:1). The victories came against AC Florence and FC Parma, among others. The main reason for their strong season so far is undoubtedly their defense. Roma have only conceded 4 goals in 9 games and are clearly number 1 in Serie A. The team has never conceded more than one goal in a single match and has kept a clean sheet 5 times.

Last 5 results AS Rom
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
29.10.2025	Serie A	AS Rom	FC Parma	2:1 (0:0)	S
29.10.2025 - Serie A
26.10.2025	Serie A	Sassuolo Calcio	AS Rom	0:1 (0:1)	S
26.10.2025 - Serie A
23.10.2025	UEFA Europa League	AS Rom	Viktoria Pilsen	1:2 (0:2)	N
23.10.2025 - UEFA Europa League
18.10.2025	Serie A	AS Rom	Inter Mailand	0:1 (0:1)	N
18.10.2025 - Serie A
05.10.2025	Serie A	ACF Fiorentina	AS Rom	1:2 (1:2)	S
05.10.2025 - Serie A

Difficult start to the Europa League

While they are in second place in Serie A and are one of the teams with the strongest form, they are still struggling in the Europa League. Although they won their opening game against OGC Nice away from home by the narrow margin of 1:2, this was followed by two somewhat surprising defeats. First, they were beaten 1:0 at home to Lille and then 2:1 at home to Viktoria Pilsen. The game against Pilsen in particular was probably their worst performance of the season so far.

AS Rome

System: 4-2-3-1.

Mile Svilar

Gianluca Mancini Evan Ndicka Mario Hermoso Zeki Çelik

Bryan Cristante Manu Koné

Wesley Matías Soulé Paulo Dybala

Evan Ferguson

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
18.05.2025	Serie A	AS Rom	AC Milan	3:1 (1:1)
18.05.2025 - Serie A
05.02.2025	Coppa Italia	AC Milan	AS Rom	3:1 (2:0)
05.02.2025 - Coppa Italia
31.05.2024	Club Friendlies	AS Rom	AC Milan	5:2 (2:1)
31.05.2024 - Club Friendlies
18.04.2024	UEFA Europa League	AS Rom	AC Milan	2:1 (2:0)
18.04.2024 - UEFA Europa League
11.04.2024	UEFA Europa League	AC Milan	AS Rom	0:1 (0:1)
11.04.2024 - UEFA Europa League

Comparison statistics last 10 events

AC Milan		:	AS Rom
6 Wins 6
3 Draw 0
1 Defeats 4
18 Goals scored 11
8 Goals received 8
12 Shots on target 8

AC Milan

59%

Ball possession

90%

Accuracy of passes

51%

Duels
won

AS Rom

49%

Duels
won

85%

Accuracy of passes

62%

Ball possession

AC Milan

15
Corners

12
Shots on target

16
Goal kicks
next to the goal

8
Goal kicks
blocked

24
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

12
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

4
Offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

AS Rom

24
Corners

17
Shots on target

20
Goal kicks
next to the goal

19
Goal kicks
blocked

32
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

24
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

6
Offside

7
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

AC Milan

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,80

per game

+10

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

AS Rom

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,10

per game

Goal difference

7 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

1.73

2.22

under 2.5 goals 56.47%

over 2.5 goals 43.53%

1.25

4.00

under 3.5 goals 76.19%

over 3.5 goals 23.81%

1.08

8.00

under 4.5 goals 88.11%

over 4.5 goals 11.89%

1.91

both teams to score - yes 50.00%

both teams to score - no 50.00%

We expect few goals - Our forecast

Milan have struggled somewhat in recent weeks due to injuries. Roma have the best defense in the entire league. We can therefore imagine that this game will be decided by the opening goal and are betting on under 2.5 goals. There is no favorite and another draw would not surprise us.