Manchester City Logo
Manchester City
:
Manchester United Manchester United Logo
D
L
W
D
L
W
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W
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15.12.2024 - 17:30 - Etihad Stadium
England England Premier League
1 1.55
X 5.25
2 29.00

ManCity and ManU are in a form crisis. Forecast, 15.12.24

Which club can get the important 3 points in the derby?

Published on 10.12.2024 10:01.

After a run of 7 games without a win in a row, Manchester City won 3-0 against Nottingham Forest on matchday 14 of the Premier League. Most people thought that the crisis was over and that the reigning champions would start a new streak. However, this is not the case, as they only managed a disappointing 2-2 draw against Crystal Palace on the final matchday. Pep Guardiola is already talking about a difficult season and if they were to lose the Manchester derby, they would probably drop out of the top four. ManU's start under coach Ruben Amorim was probably also different, as the team only won 2 of their first 5 games. Most recently, there have been 2 defeats in a row and they are still in the bottom half of the table.

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Betting tips today

Manchester City

  • 4th place in the table
  • Only one win from the last 9 games
  • Won 5 out of 7 games at home

Manchester United

  • 13th place in the table
  • 2 defeats in a row
  • Only one away win in 7 games
Ergebnistipp
2:1
City are not having a good season, but have the home advantage on their side and are usually convincing there. ManU have lost their last two games in the league.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 13 11 1 1 26:8 18 34
2 FC Arsenal 13 7 4 2 26:14 12 25
3 FC Chelsea 13 7 4 2 26:14 12 25
4 Brighton 13 6 5 2 22:17 5 23
5 Manchester City 13 7 2 4 22:19 3 23
6 Nottingham Forest 13 6 4 3 16:13 3 22
7 Tottenham 13 6 2 5 28:14 14 20
8 FC Brentford 13 6 2 5 26:23 3 20
9 Manchester United 13 5 4 4 17:13 4 19
10 FC Fulham 13 5 4 4 18:18 0 19
11 Newcastle United 13 5 4 4 14:14 0 19
12 Aston Villa 13 5 4 4 19:22 -3 19
13 AFC Bournemouth 13 5 3 5 20:19 1 18
14 West Ham United 13 4 3 6 17:24 -7 15
15 FC Everton 13 2 5 6 10:21 -11 11
16 Leicester City 13 2 4 7 16:27 -11 10
17 Crystal Palace 13 1 6 6 11:18 -7 9
18 Wolverhampton 13 2 3 8 22:32 -10 9
19 Ipswich Town 13 1 6 6 13:24 -11 9
20 FC Southampton 13 1 2 10 10:25 -15 5

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Last 5 games Manchester City home vs. Manchester United away
Manchester City Home Manchester United Away
Nottingham Forest 3:0 1:2 Viktoria Pilsen
Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:3 2:0 FC Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur 0:4 1:1 Ipswich Town
FC Southampton 1:0 2:1 West Ham United
AC Sparta Prague 5:0 1:1 Fenerbahçe Istanbul

Manchester City is already struggling to catch up

The reigning champions could soon drop out of the Premier League's top four if they lose the derby against Manchester United. The last few weeks have been anything but ordinary for City. They have suffered 5 defeats in a row and have gone a total of 7 games without a win. This is by far Pep Guardiola's worst dry spell. In between, they managed a relatively commanding 3-0 home win against Nottingham Forest. On the last matchday, however, they fell back into old patterns and only finished the away game against Crystal Palace with a 2-2 draw, with Rico Lewis also picking up a red card. City have now won just one game since the end of October, making them one of the Premier League's poorest teams in terms of form. With the return of Kevin de Bruyne and Jeremy Doku, they have scored 5 goals in the last two matchdays. The defense is still very shaky, however, and Stefan Ortega has long since been replaced in goal. City will also be hoping to build on their good home record in the derby. They have won 5 of 7 games at the Etihad Stadium and lost just one.

Last 5 results Manchester City
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
11.12.2024 UEFA Champions League
Juventus Turin
Manchester City
2:0 (0:0) N
07.12.2024 England Premier League
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
2:2 (1:1) U
04.12.2024 England Premier League
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
3:0 (2:0) S
01.12.2024 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
Manchester City
2:0 (1:0) N
26.11.2024 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Feyenoord
3:3 (1:0) U

City's defense is becoming more and more of a problem

In the last 9 games, Manchester City have conceded at least 2 goals 8 times and have only managed to keep a clean sheet once. Among others, they lost 4-0 to Tottenham Hotspur. In the Champions League, they conceded 3 goals in a 3-3 draw against Feyenoord Rotterdam. In total, they have now conceded 21 goals in 15 games in the Premier League. In the last 6 matchdays alone, 12 of them were conceded, giving them an average of 2.00 goals per game. With Manuel Akanji, Nathan Ake and John Stones, three important defensive players are out. However, the absence of Rodri is likely to hurt the most.

Manchester City

System: 4-3-3.

Stefan Ortega
Manuel Akanji Rúben Dias Nathan Aké Joško Gvardiol
Bernardo Silva İlkay Gündoğan Kevin De Bruyne
Jérémy documentary Erling Haaland Jack Grealish
City remain slight favorites at home - odds: 1.52

Manchester United can't get off the mark

In November, ManU decided to change manager and brought in Ruben Amorim, the absolute dream candidate from Sporting Lisbon. The Portuguese's start was not ideal with a 1-1 draw against newly promoted Ipswich Town, but this was followed by two wins in a row. They remained unbeaten in their first 3 games and picked up 7 points. The offense was fun, as they scored 7 goals in the two victories. Most recently, however, they suffered two defeats in a row against Arsenal and Nottingham Forest, in which they conceded a total of 5 goals and slipped back down to 13th place in the table. Their record is negative again and, with 19 points, they are once again 6 points off an international starting place. Now they also have to play away from home. In 7 away games, the Red Devils have only managed one win so far. 6 points were collected in these 7 games and the goal difference is 6:7 goals. Only 3 teams have scored fewer goals away from home. Rasmus Höjlund and Joshua Zirkzee scored the two goals on the last matchday.

Last 5 results Manchester United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
12.12.2024 UEFA Europa League
Viktoria Pilsen
Manchester United
1:2 (0:0) S
07.12.2024 England Premier League
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
2:3 (1:1) N
04.12.2024 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Manchester United
2:0 (0:0) N
01.12.2024 England Premier League
Manchester United
FC Everton
4:0 (2:0) S
28.11.2024 UEFA Europa League
Manchester United
FK Bodø/Glimt
3:2 (2:2) S

ManU have come up short in their last few matches

The last derbies against Manchester City were not very successful for the Red Devils. Although they won the FA Cup final in May 2024, this was their only victory in the last four encounters. In the last 9 games, City have won 7 times, while ManU have only won 2. Also interesting: The last draw was in 2020, almost 4 years ago. Their last clash to date was at the start of this season in the Community Shield. After a 0-0 draw over 90 minutes, Manchester City narrowly prevailed 7-8 on penalties.

Manchester United

System: 4-2-3-1.

André Onana
Leny Yoro Matthijs de Ligt Lisandro Martínez Amad Diallo
Manuel Ugarte Kobbie Mainoo
Diogo Dalot Bruno Fernandes Alejandro Garnacho
Rasmus Højlund
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
10.08.2024 England Community Shield
Manchester City
Manchester United
1:1 (0:0)
25.05.2024 FA Cup
Manchester City
Manchester United
1:2 (0:2)
03.03.2024 England Premier League
Manchester City
Manchester United
3:1 (0:1)
29.10.2023 England Premier League
Manchester United
Manchester City
0:3 (0:1)
03.06.2023 FA Cup
Manchester City
Manchester United
2:1 (1:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Manchester City : Manchester United

1

Wins

6

2

Draw

2

7

Defeats

2

12

Goals scored

23

23

Goals received

12

12

Shots on target

8

Manchester City
62%
Ball possession
91%
Accuracy of passes
58%
Duels
won
Manchester United
50%
Duels
won
89%
Accuracy of passes
60%
Ball possession
Manchester City
31
Corners
20
Shots on target
24
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
53
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
7
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
Manchester United
12
Corners
9
Shots on target
14
Goal kicks
next to the goal
12
Goal kicks
blocked
22
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
offside
0
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Manchester City
12
Goals scored
23
Goals received
ø 1,20
per game
-11
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
Manchester United
23
Goals scored
12
Goals received
ø 2,30
per game
+11
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 34.65%
over 2.5 goals 65.35%
under 3.5 goals 56.06%
over 3.5 goals 43.94%
under 4.5 goals 73.48%
over 4.5 goals 26.52%
both teams to score - yes 59.85%
both teams to score - no 40.15%

City are favorites at home - Our analysis

Manchester City are in the midst of their biggest crisis in years, but they are still a force to be reckoned with at home. They will be doubly motivated in the derby in front of their own fans and have a good record against Manchester United. We therefore favor the home team. ManU are still difficult to assess with their new coach, but should certainly not be underestimated. We expect a close game where goals will be scored on both sides.

Odd comparison Manchester City - Manchester United

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