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Real Madrid Real Madrid Logo
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26.04.2025 - 22:00 - Camp Nou
Spanien Copa del Rey
1 2.20
X 3.90
2 3.10

Barcelona and Real Madrid battle it out for the Copa del Rey title. Prediction, 26.04.25

Will Hansi Flick prevail again in the Clasico?

Published on 24.04.2025 17:03.

It will be the third clash between these two heavyweights in the 2024/25 season. The previous two duels were won by FC Barcelona quite clearly with 4:0 and 5:2, which secured them the Supercopa title, among others. In the Spanish La Liga, the Blaugrana are also on course for the title and have a 4-point lead over Real Madrid. For the Whites, the Copa del Rey is their best chance of winning a title this season anyway, as they have already been eliminated from the Champions League. The pressure is therefore more on the royals. Barcelona, on the other hand, still have a chance of winning the treble and would naturally like to win their first final.

FC Barcelona - Real Madrid: 26.04.2025 - 22:00
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Betting tips today All betting tips

FC Barcelona

  • Leaders in La Liga
  • Champions League semi-final
  • Only one defeat in 2025

Real Madrid

  • 2nd place in La Liga
  • Knocked out of the Champions League
  • 3 defeats in the last 6 games
Result tip
3:1
Barcelona have won the 2 Clasicos so far this season and have only lost a single game in 2025.
Last 5 games FC Barcelona home vs. Real Madrid away
FC Barcelona Home Real Madrid Away
Benfica Lissabon 3:1 1:2 FC Villarreal
Real Sociedad 4:0 1:0 Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 4:4 2:1 Betis Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 0:1 Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés 1:0 1:1 CA Osasuna

Hansi Flick and Barcelona could make history

The German coach did not have an easy start to the season and 6 of the now 7 defeats were conceded in the fall. Since the start of 2025, however, things have been going like clockwork for Barca and they have racked up win after win. The team won their first title in January when they beat Real Madrid in the Supercopa. It was the 2nd Clasico this season and for the 2nd time they celebrated a clear victory (5:2). In the league, they fought their way back with a series of wins and ultimately took the lead in the table. With 5 matchdays to go, they now have a 4-point lead over the Whites and the title seems within their grasp. They have also been unbeaten in La Liga since December 2024. They have won all of their last 3 games, before that they drew 1-1 against an in-form Betis Sevilla. Barca are a real force in attack in particular and have already scored 89 goals in 33 games. The two superstars Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha alone have 35 goals between them.

Last 5 results FC Barcelona
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
16.03.2025 Primera Division
Atletico Madrid
FC Barcelona
2:4 (1:0) S
11.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
FC Barcelona
Benfica
3:1 (3:1) S
05.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Benfica
FC Barcelona
0:1 (0:0) S
02.03.2025 Primera Division
FC Barcelona
Real Sociedad
4:0 (2:0) S
25.02.2025 Copa del Rey
FC Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
4:4 (3:2) U

Strong performances in the cup competitions

FC Barcelona have already defeated three strong La Liga teams in the Copa del Rey. In the round of 16, they beat Betis Sevilla 5:1, followed by a 0:5 win away at Valencia FC. In the semi-finals, they faced the third heavyweight in Spain, Atletico Madrid. After a 4:4 draw at home, they won 0:1 away to reach the final. In the Champions League, they made it to the semi-finals after beating Benfica and Dortmund. They scored at least one goal in each of these 4 knockout matches. However, they suffered their only defeat so far in 2025 when they were beaten 3:1 away at Dortmund.

FC Barcelona

System: 4-3-3.

Wojciech Szczęsny
Ronald Araújo Eric García Iñigo Martínez Hector Fort
Gavi Pedri Lamine Yamal
Dani Olmo Ansu Fati Ferran Torres
Victory for Barcelona at odds of over 2.00

Real Madrid threatened with a season without a title

The Whites are certainly not playing a bad season, but expectations are so high that the season so far has to be viewed critically. In the Supercopa, they were clearly beaten by Barcelona in the final, in the league they are 4 points off the lead and in the Champions League, the defending champions have already failed to reach the quarter-finals against Arsenal FC. The Copa del Rey now offers the most realistic chance of winning a title this season. However, their form has been anything but stellar, having lost 3 of their last 6 competitive matches. The 3 wins they have managed to secure in this period have all been narrow 1-0 victories. In the past 6 games, the team has never managed to score more than one goal. In the two quarter-final matches against Arsenal FC, they also conceded a total of 5 goals. In La Liga, they have struggled primarily away from home, winning only 9 of 17 games and scoring 28 goals, or just under 1.5 goals per game.

Last 5 results Real Madrid
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.03.2025 Primera Division
FC Villarreal
Real Madrid
1:2 (1:2) S
12.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1:0 (1:0) N
09.03.2025 Primera Division
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2:1 (2:1) S
04.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2:1 (1:1) S
01.03.2025 Primera Division
Betis Sevilla
Real Madrid
2:1 (1:1) N

Real want their first win against Barca this season

The Clasico is still the biggest club football match in the world. Real knew how to convince in this duel before this season. The Whites won 4 times in a row between 2023 and 2024, scoring big victories such as 4-0 or 4-1. However, since Hansi Flick has been in charge, the two Clasicos so far have been lost with a total score of 9-2 goals! However, this clash is almost always a spectacle, as at least 3 goals have been scored in the match for the 7th time in a row.

Real Madrid

System: 4-3-3.

Thibaut Courtois
Federico Valverde Raúl Asencio Antonio Rüdiger Eduardo Camavinga
Luka Modrić Aurélien Tchouaméni Dani Ceballos
Jude Bellingham Rodrygo Vinícius Júnior
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
12.01.2025 Spanien Super Cup
Real Madrid
FC Barcelona
2:5 (1:4)
26.10.2024 Primera Division
Real Madrid
FC Barcelona
0:4 (0:0)
21.04.2024 Primera Division
Real Madrid
FC Barcelona
3:2 (1:1)
14.01.2024 Spanien Super Cup
Real Madrid
FC Barcelona
4:1 (3:1)
28.10.2023 Primera Division
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
1:2 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Barcelona : Real Madrid

9

Wins

7

1

Draw

1

0

Defeats

2

29

Goals scored

17

8

Goals received

10

12

Shots on target

8

FC Barcelona
70%
Ball possession
90%
Accuracy of passes
54%
Duels
won
Real Madrid
56%
Duels
won
90%
Accuracy of passes
61%
Ball possession
FC Barcelona
25
Corners
23
Shots on target
29
Goal kicks
next to the goal
12
Goal kicks
blocked
44
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
Real Madrid
37
Corners
29
Shots on target
20
Goal kicks
next to the goal
21
Goal kicks
blocked
45
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
25
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
11
Offside
3
yellow cards
1
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Barcelona
29
Goals scored
8
Goals received
ø 2,90
per game
+21
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Real Madrid
17
Goals scored
10
Goals received
ø 1,70
per game
+7
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 38.41%
over 2.5 goals 61.59%
under 3.5 goals 58.24%
over 3.5 goals 41.76%
under 4.5 goals 74.71%
over 4.5 goals 25.29%
both teams to score - yes 64.01%
both teams to score - no 35.99%

Barca are slight favorites - Our analysis

Barcelona have been in absolute top form in recent weeks and have already beaten Real Madrid twice this season. They are therefore also the favorites to win the Copa del Rey final. An even safer bet would be one on many goals, as has practically always been the case in recent duels. A safe betting recommendation should therefore be "more than 2.5 goals".

Odd comparison FC Barcelona - Real Madrid

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