Atalanta and Napoli contest the top clash in Serie A. Prediction, 22.02.26

Will Atalanta get close to the top 4 again?

Published on 19.02.2026 14:44.

The hosts are currently in strong form and have not lost for several weeks. They are still in 7th place in the table, but the gap to the Champions League places has narrowed considerably. Napoli now await an opponent who is ahead of them in the table and who they would like to close the gap to. A win would see them jump to 6th place and the gap to the top 4 would only be 2 points. Napoli, on the other hand, are not in absolute top form and must slowly look backwards. After a 2-2 draw against AS Roma last weekend, the next top team now awaits. For them, it's all about defending 3rd place.

Atalanta Bergamo - SSC Neapel: 22.02.2026 - 14:00

Tip 1 2.45
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both teams to score - yes 1.78
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Betting tips today All betting tips

7th place in the table
Haven't lost in 8 games
Only 2 defeats in 13 home games

3rd place in the table
Already 5 away defeats
Did not lose the last 3 games

Result tip

3:2

Both teams are normally attack-oriented. Atalanta have been in top form this week, while Napoli have already conceded 5 away defeats this year.

Racket Serie A
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	SSC Neapel	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	Juventus Turin	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
3	AC Milan	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
4	AS Rom	4	3	0	1	3:1	2	9
5	Atalanta Bergamo	4	2	2	0	9:3	6	8
6	US Cremonese	4	2	2	0	5:3	2	8
7	Cagliari Calcio	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
8	Como 1907	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
9	Udinese Calcio	4	2	1	1	4:5	-1	7
10	Inter Mailand	4	2	0	2	11:7	4	6
11	FC Bologna	4	2	0	2	3:3	0	6
12	FC Turin	4	1	1	2	1:8	-7	4
13	Lazio Rom	4	1	0	3	4:4	0	3
14	Sassuolo Calcio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
15	Hellas Verona	4	0	3	1	2:6	-4	3
16	CFC Genua	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2
17	ACF Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	FC Parma	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
19	AC Pisa	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
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Last 5 games Atalanta Bergamo home vs. SSC Neapel away
Atalanta Bergamo Home	SSC Neapel Away
US Cremonese 2:1	2:3 CFC Genua
Juventus Turin 3:0	3:0 Juventus Turin
FC Parma 4:0	0:2 US Cremonese
Inter Mailand 0:1	1:0 Udinese Calcio
Cagliari Calcio 2:1	2:0 Benfica Lissabon

Atalanta Bergamo is one of the most in-form teams in Italy

The 7th-placed team in the Italian Serie A has been in absolute top form for weeks. In recent weeks, they have been able to close the gap on a Champions League place. They are now only 5 points behind a top 4 place and the form curve speaks for itself. They have now been unbeaten for 8 matchdays. They have won 3 of their last 4 games. Last weekend there was a 0:2 away win against Lazio Rome. In general, they are particularly good defensively, as they have not conceded a goal in 3 of these last 4 games. They have never conceded more than one goal since matchday 14 at the beginning of December. The games therefore often end with few goals. If you had bet on fewer than 2.5 goals in Atalanta's last 10 games, they would have won 8 times. The 21 goals conceded in 25 games is the 4th best figure of all teams in Serie A. If they can now also win against reigning champions SSC Napoli, they would jump to 6th place in the table.

Last 5 results Atalanta Bergamo
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
17.02.2026	UEFA Champions League	Borussia Dortmund	Atalanta Bergamo	2:0 (2:0)	N
17.02.2026 - UEFA Champions League
14.02.2026	Serie A	Lazio Rom	Atalanta Bergamo	0:2 (0:1)	S
14.02.2026 - Serie A
09.02.2026	Serie A	Atalanta Bergamo	US Cremonese	2:1 (2:0)	S
09.02.2026 - Serie A
05.02.2026	Coppa Italia	Atalanta Bergamo	Juventus Turin	3:0 (1:0)	S
05.02.2026 - Coppa Italia
01.02.2026	Serie A	Como 1907	Atalanta Bergamo	0:0 (0:0)	U
01.02.2026 - Serie A

Plenty of individual quality in the squad

Atalanta once again have a strong squad and some promising talents. In defense, they have a young central defender in 17-year-old Honest Ahanor, who is already being chased by half of Europe. In offense, Gianluca Scamacca and Nikola Krstovic are the main scorers. Raffaele Palladino, who is only 41 years old, is also on the touchline. He has a strong record, but is now facing elimination from the Champions League. In the intermediate round, they were beaten 2:0 by Dortmund in the first leg.

Atalanta Bergamo

System: 4-3-3.

Marco Carnesecchi

Giorgio Scalvini Berat Djimsiti Sead Kolašinac Davide Zappacosta

Mario Pašalić Éderson Nicola Zalewski

Charles De Ketelaere Giacomo Raspadori Nikola Krstović

The odds for a home win are over 2.40

To Nucleonbet

Naples must look to the rear

Reigning champions Napoli are unlikely to be able to defend their title this year. They are already 11 points behind league leaders Inter. They even have to look backwards, as they are only 4 points ahead of 5th-placed Juventus. The visitors' form is not bad, but could be better with only 2 wins from the last 4 games. The 2 wins against Florence and Genoa were also only won by a one-goal margin. In between, there was a resounding 3-0 away defeat against Juventus Turin and a 2-2 draw against AS Roma on the last matchday. It almost seems as if Napoli are currently struggling against the top teams. They have generally been inconsistent away from home all season. While they are still unbeaten at home, they have conceded 5 defeats in 13 games away from home. However, with 7 wins, they have won more than half of their away games.

Last 5 results SSC Neapel
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
15.02.2026	Serie A	SSC Neapel	AS Rom	2:2 (1:1)	U
15.02.2026 - Serie A
10.02.2026	Coppa Italia	SSC Neapel	Como 1907	1:1 (0:1)	U
10.02.2026 - Coppa Italia
07.02.2026	Serie A	CFC Genua	SSC Neapel	2:3 (1:2)	S
07.02.2026 - Serie A
31.01.2026	Serie A	SSC Neapel	ACF Fiorentina	2:1 (1:0)	S
31.01.2026 - Serie A
28.01.2026	UEFA Champions League	SSC Neapel	FC Chelsea	2:3 (2:1)	N
28.01.2026 - UEFA Champions League

Big disappointment in the cup competitions

Overall, it has certainly been a very disappointing season for SSC Napoli. In addition to finishing 4th in Serie A, they have already been eliminated from both the Coppa Italia and the Champions League. Above all, their elimination in the group stage of the top flight is one of the biggest disappointments of the season. They only won 2 of their 8 group games and conceded 15 goals. In the Coppa Italia, they were eliminated in the quarter-finals against Como a few weeks ago. After a draw, they were ultimately beaten on penalties.

SSC Naples

System: 4-2-3-1.

Vanja Milinković-Savić

Sam Beukema Amir Rrahmani Alessandro Buongiorno Miguel Gutiérrez

Eljif Elmas Stanislav Lobotka

Leonardo Spinazzola Matteo Politano Antonio Vergara

Rasmus Højlund

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
22.11.2025	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Atalanta Bergamo	3:1 (3:0)
22.11.2025 - Serie A
18.01.2025	Serie A	Atalanta Bergamo	SSC Neapel	2:3 (1:2)
18.01.2025 - Serie A
03.11.2024	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Atalanta Bergamo	0:3 (0:2)
03.11.2024 - Serie A
30.03.2024	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Atalanta Bergamo	0:3 (0:2)
30.03.2024 - Serie A
25.11.2023	Serie A	Atalanta Bergamo	SSC Neapel	1:2 (0:1)
25.11.2023 - Serie A

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Atalanta Bergamo		:	SSC Neapel
6 Wins 5
1 Draw 3
3 Defeats 2
14 Goals scored 16
6 Goals received 12
12 Shots on target 8

Atalanta Bergamo

53%

Ball possession

84%

Accuracy of passes

49%

Duels
won

SSC Neapel

51%

Duels
won

89%

Accuracy of passes

59%

Ball possession

Atalanta Bergamo

31
Corners

37
Shots on target

23
Goal kicks
next to the goal

31
Goal kicks
blocked

65
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

26
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

14
Offside

10
yellow cards

1
red cards

SSC Neapel

34
Corners

24
Shots on target

34
Goal kicks
next to the goal

28
Goal kicks
blocked

59
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

27
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

6
Offside

7
yellow cards

1
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Atalanta Bergamo

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,40

per game

Goal difference

6 / 10

Games with goals

SSC Neapel

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,60

per game

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

1.75 2.10

under 2.5 goals 54.50%

over 2.5 goals 45.50%

1.29 3.75

under 3.5 goals 74.09%

over 3.5 goals 25.91%

1.10 7.25

under 4.5 goals 86.63%

over 4.5 goals 13.37%

1.80 2.00

both teams to score - yes 52.19%

both teams to score - no 47.81%

Atalanta even slight favorite - Our forecast

The hosts are currently one of the most in-form teams in Serie A. Napoli, on the other hand, have already conceded 5 defeats away from home. For us, Atalanta are therefore slight favorites in the match. Both teams are usually offensively oriented, which is why we can expect a small goal spectacle.